Quiz 3 Uncertainty PD Flashcards
Addresses activities and functions associated with risk and uncertainty
Uncertainty Performance Domain
A lack of understanding and awareness of issues, events, paths to follow, or solutions to pursue.
Uncertainty
A state of being unclear, having difficulty in identifying the cause of events, or having multiple options from which to choose
Ambiguity
A characteristic of a program or project or its environment that is difficult to manage due to human behavior, system behavior, and ambiguity
Complexity
The possibility for rapid and unpredictable change
Volatility
An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on one or more project objectives
Risk
7 Aspects of the overall environment that contribute to uncertainty
PESTEL but also add A so we get PESTELA
1) Political Influences
2) Economic Factors
3) Social and Market Influences
4) Technical Considerations
5) Environment
6) Legal or Legislative Constraints
7) Ambiguity
4 key response strategies to manage uncertainty (GPSB)
1) Gather Information
2) Prepare for Multiple Outcomes
3) Set Based Design
4) Build in Resilience
3 Solutions for Exploring Situational Ambiguity (PEP)
1) Progressive Elaboration
2) Experiments
3) Prototypes
3 Reasons for complexity (HMU)
1) Human behavior, system interactions, and ambiguity
2) Multiple interconnected influences
3) Unforeseen or unintended outcomes
3 Effects of Complexity (IEN)
1) Inability to accurately predict outcomes
2) Emergent behaviors
3) Need for adaptive approaches
3 Ways to work with complexity (SRP)
1) Systems Based Approaches
2) Reframing Approaches
3) Process Based Approaches
2 Systems Based Approaches
1) Decoupling
2) Simulation
2 Reframing Approaches
1) Diversity
2) Balance
3 Process Based Approaches (IEF)
1) Iterate
2) Engage
3) Fail Safe
5 Strategies for Managing Threats (AETMA)
1) Avoid
2) Escalate
3) Transfer
4) Mitigate
5) Accept
5 Ways to deal with Opportunities (EESEA)
1) Exploit
2) Escalate
3) Share
4) Enhance
5) Accept
4 Types of Risk Review Methods (DDWR)
1) Daily standup meetings
- Identify potential threats and opportunities early
2) Demonstrations and design reviews
- Show increments of work
3) Weekly status meetings
- Keep risk management relevant and up to date
4) Retrospectives and lessons learned meetings
- Identify threats to performance, cohesion, and efficiency
Uncertainty PD Outcomes (APACPOC)
- An awareness of the environment in which projects occur, including, but not limited to, the technical, social, political, market, and economic environments.
- Proactively exploring and responding to uncertainty.
- An awareness of the interdependence of multiple variables on the project.
- The capacity to anticipate threats and opportunities and understand the consequences of issues.
- Project delivery with little or no negative impact from unforeseen events or conditions.
- Opportunities are realized to improve project performance and outcomes.
- Cost and schedule reserves are utilized effectively to maintain alignment with project objectives.