P3 - US Elections (systems, finance, incumbency) Flashcards
what is the electoral process
announcement (invisible primary) - primaries and caucuses - national party conventions - the campaign - election day - electoral college - inauguration
what happens at the invisible primary
usually 12-18 months before election day. This is an intraparty campaign - candidates from the same party campaign to establish themselves as viable candidates for their party’s presidential nominee
what happens in the primaries and caucuses
these take place at the state level between Feb and June. Candidates from the same party compete against each other in a public vote to decide who will be the party’s presidential candidate
When does the national party convention usually take place
July
what happens at the national party convention
they confirm each party’s nominee for the president and VP and agree on a party platform
whats the reality of the NPC
the presidential candidate is almost decided by the time of the convention due to front-loading primaries (primaries are occurring earlier and earlier in the calendar, so the winner of the primaries is apparent long before the conference)
what is the campaign
between July and November the announced candidate from each party campaigns for the presidency
what happens on election day
on the Tuesday following the first Monday in November. Voters are not directly electing the president. They are nominating the electors from their state to the EC, to whom their state’s ECV will go
when is the electoral college
on the Monday following the second Wednesday in December
when is the inauguration
20th January of the following year, when the president is sworn in and officially takes on the role
what are the constitutional requirements to be president
they have to be at least 35 years old, a natural-born US citizen and a resident of the USA for 14 years
what does the 22nd amendment say
the president shall only serve two terms
how many ECVs are there in the EC
538
what does the number of ECVs depend on
their population and is the same as the number of Senators plus the number of Reps that the state has
which state has the most ECVs
California
how many ECVs does California have
55
how many states give all their ECVs to the party with the most votes
48
which states allocate ECVs by district
in Maine and Nebraska
how many ECVs does a candidate need to achieve to become President
270
what is a faithless elector
an elector who does not cast their ECV for the candidate that their state voted for. This action is illegal in 30 states.
how many faithless electors were there in 2016
seven
how many votes did Trump gain in November 2016
63 million votes (46%)
how many votes did Clinton gain in November 2016
66 million votes (48%)
how many states did Trump win
30, worth 306 ECVs
how many states did Clinton win
20, worth 232 ECVs
when has the president won with fewer votes than the loser of the election
2000 Al Gore lost to GWB
2016 Clinton lost to Trump
what are the advantages of the invisible primary
- identifies candidates able to find enough support/money
- allows for a range of candidates
- candidates well scrutinised
what are the disadvantages of the invisible primary
- those able to raise the most money are not necessarily the best candidate
- the length of the process can cause apathy
what are the advantages of the primaries and caucuses
- maintains federalism
- allows intraparty choice
- caucuses allow for genuine party involvement
- more participation in ‘open’ primaries and caucuses
what are the disadvantages of the primaries and caucuses
- open primaries and caucuses can be ‘sabotaged’
- low turnout in both, but especially caucuses
- calendar affects the importance of a primary, which had led to front-loading
what are the advantages of the national party convention
- formally announce the party candidate
- engage the party faithful
- a poll ‘bounce’ (gain in the poll ratings)
- TV coverage allows for national involvement
what are the disadvantages of the national party convention
- increasingly presidential and VP candidates are already known, as is the party platform
- TV coverage increasingly reduced to acceptance speeches and little more
what are the advantages of the electoral college
- states with a small population are still important
- decisive outcome
- usually, this results in the winner gaining a majority of the popular vote
- promotes a two-party system
- it works, largely, as the founding father intended
what are the disadvantages of the electoral college
- complex; and recent problems have caused more apathy
- the winner may not have a majority of the vote
- the WTA nature of the state elector means the population is not adequately represented
- swing states
- disadvantages third parties