Module 24- Duration estimating Flashcards
Deterministic Estimate
Also called One point Estimate; appropriate when the activity durations are very predictable; requires that the team expert provide a reliable estimate of the time necessary to complete the activity. the expert provides a single estimate for an activity based on either his or her own knowledge or historical information.
Triangular Distribution
“Simple average; Activity Duration=(O+M+P)/3
The simple average gives equal weight to all three estimates. In this case, the optimistic (O) and pessimistic (P) are treated equally with the most likely estimate (M).”
Beta Distribution
optimistic+ 4 times the most likely +pessimistic / 6 Developed by PERT
learning curves
suggests that as a person repeats a task, the time required to complete the task decreases.
Standard deviation
a statistical measure of how much the actual activity duration is likely to vary.
deterministic estimate
appropriate when the activity durations are very predictable;requires that the team expert provide a reliable estimate of the time necessary to complete the activity. This method is also called the one-point estimate method because the expert provides a single estimate for an activity based on either his or her own knowledge or historical information.
Probabilistic estimate
used when there is uncertainty in how long an activity will take.
Learning Curve
suggests that as a person repeats a task, the time required to complete the task decreases.