Lecture 3 - Epidemiology Flashcards
Epidemiology Definition
study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency among populations
History of Epi
Hippocrates, john graunt (differences in male female births and deaths), percival pott scrotal cancer and chimney sweeps, John Snow, cigarettes and lung cancer
Use of Epi information
health assessments, aid in clinical decisions, search for causes/risk factors, identify subgroups, evaluate actions/interventions/policies, hazard id,
Types of EPI studies
experimental (clinical, community interventions, field trials), non-experimental/observational studies
almost all are observational
Types of observation study
descriptive (case series/case studies, proportionate mortality, ecologic studies / correlational studies, cross sectional surveys)
analytic (cross sectional studies, cohort studies (prospective / retrospective), case-control studies)
descriptive case-study
single patient or group of patients, lead to more studies
descriptive proportional mortality study
based solely on deceased subjects, proportion of exposed dead to unexposed dead. inexpensive and quick and can be reasonable
descriptive- ecologic
unit of anlysis is the group (harvard six cities study)
descriptive study: cross sectional survey
disease and exposure status of all persons in population, determined at one point in time. used for status and trends. cannot be used to assess causal relationships
his preterm birth study in puerto rico (PROTECT)
prevalence vs incidence
incidence: # of new infections per person time (number of exposed cases versus time exposed)
prevalence: # of people currently living with infection
analytic study: case-control
cases randomly selected from hypothetical source population,controls are sample of non-diseased comparison subjects, use an odds ratio
[exposed disease / exposed no disease] / [non exposed disease / non exposed no disease]
analytic cohort studies
the gold standard. investigator defines groups that have various exposure levels and then watches over time (or analyzes backwards ie retrospective). as close as you can get to causality) IRR and PRR. also RR
IRR, PRR, RR
IRR is IRe / IRne
PRR is PRe/PRne
Relative Risk is
[exposed and disease / (total exposed pop)] / [not exposed w/ disease / (total non exposed pop)]
Comparison of cohort and case control
case control; simple, low cost, for rare diseases, more susceptible to bias,
cohort; expensive and time-consuming, for relatively common diseases, multiple diseases being explored,provides causal evidence
hill criteria for causality
temporality: event occurs after cause
strength: of association
biologic gradient: greater exposure = greater incidence
consistency: across places
plausibility: of mechanism
analogy: to similar factors
experimental evidence:
specificity: shown at a specific site with no other explanation
coherence: epi studies and lab studies