Lecture 22 Forecasting Flashcards
what is forecasting ?
a systematising way of making logical decisions based on events where the result is still unknown.
3 characteristics with forecasting
- Non-predictive: discover the evolution of events based on actions taken by stakeholders today
- Actionoriented: support stakeholders in actively creating events
- Stakeholder driven: involve participation by several actors.
classification of online social network: Exchange of Digital Objects
Online social networks exist in order to make it easier for members to exchange digital object
focus on content sharing: dropbox, mediafire, sciencenet, skype
classification of online social network: Collaboration and Co-action
in order to make it easier for member to cooperate in creating a goal
focus on cooperation towards achieving a common goal
ex: Google,Docs,Wikipedia,YouTube
classification of online social network: Advanced Networking
Online social network to make it easier for users to interact.
focus on interactions as an end in itself: ex. Facebook, instagram, LinkedIn, Orkut, Twitter
classification of online social network: Virtual life
Online social network in order to give members a chance to get deeper into the virtual.
Focus on virtual immersion: Second life, the Sims
Enhancing creativity
online social network straights foresight by enhancing creativity through unseen guidlines for communication and interaction
Detecting Patterns
Online social network strengths foresight by revealing patterns in social behaviour.
Cultivating Collective Intelligence
Online social networks strenghts foresight by adapting to different point of view, and adapt collective intelligence