Judgement and decision making Flashcards
Definition of judgement
A set of evaluative and inferential processes that people can draw on to make decisions
Definition of decision making
The consequences of the judgment
What is the gamblers fallacy?
Last 3 coins were heads therefore next is tails
What is the “hot hand phenomenon”?
Believe that a successful shot will lead to another successful shot.
Is there any evidence in favour of the hot hand phenomenon?
Gilovich 1985 - No evidence, it is the gamblers fallacy
How does prior knowledge affect judgement?
It bias’ the judgement
Plessner 1999 - Does performance order bias the scores?
Yes - GYmnastics videotaped judgement
Plessner & Betsch 2001 - Do prior decisions affect current decisions? In what way?
Yes. Referees are more likely to attempt to balance their judgements between the teams.
Are judges influenced by team reputation?
Yes - Jones et al 2002
Does a home advantage exist?
Yes but it depends on the sport
In what type of sports is a home advantage in judgement decisions evident?
Subjectively scored sports eg gymnastics, diving
How does crowd noise affect decision making? Nevill 2002
Used as a cue by judges - awarded fewer fouls where crowd made noise
Does colour worn make a difference to judgement? Hagemann 2008
Yes - red scored higher
Possible explanation: the colour red is sexually selected and signals dominance and aggression
Loftus & Palmer 1974 - How does priming alter memory?
Certain words trigger memories that may or may not have happened.
Langer 1975 - Does body language influence behaviour?
It can - people bet more against opponents who appeared nervous even though the odds of winning did not change.
