general elections are lost rather than won Flashcards
which elections will you cover
1997 1979 and 2024
1.for- leadership
unpopular PM is usually the key reason
opposition isn’t required to be popular
sunak net favorability was -51 and starmer-17
patygate
out of touch
smug
left d day party early and went to itv interview
still 174 seat majority
1979 Callaghan winter of discontent
trade unions
labour behind in polls and thatcher thrived off economic turnaround
1.NO- parties often elect a new leader
conservatives did this in the last decade
truss
BJ
May
BJ Populist instead of MAY removed himself from rest of party and focused on get Brexit done
popular opposition leaders are important
1997 balir vs major weak boring sleaze cash for honors scandal and divided eurosceptic party
2.Yes- incompetence of govt is a driving factor
1979,97 and 2024
winter of discontent Callaghan
TU
Labour isn’t working
trued to impose 5% limit on pay rises
C could grapple with economy and social breakdown
1997 - recovering from recession earlier that decade black Wednesday 1992 so C lost competence
from 1992 labour was ahead of C in polls
2019 C were seen as selfish drop from 44% in 2019 to 29% in 2024 due to patygate scandal
truss mini budget and you gov reported mainly tactical voting
2.NO- govt can only win if seen as competent themselves
1997- no rise in income tax or corporation tax prioritizing national finances
1979- bringing down inflation
2024- L went centrist no rise in income or corporation made tories attack line around taxes ineffective
LOA
TRUE
sections
leadership
competence
rational choice and issue based voting
- no - opposition offers a real change
1997 modernisation abandoned old fashioned party policies
nationalisation, tax, strengthening of tu
tough on crime tough on the causes of crime
issues that mattered due to crime rates in early 1990s
stressed policy difference eg reducing primary school class sizes cutting hospital waiting lists
- yes- often have similar policies
change in leadership instead
1979 both parties prioritiesed bring down inflation C party manifestoncontained no hints of moving so far right
mention of privatizing and TU but no radical scale down on state sector
2010 both parties supported austerity and bringing down deficit
C weren’t punished for financial crash
2024 both increase defense spending to 2,5% both no increase to income and corp tax both invest in NHS and illegal immigration
election fought on govt record