Disease And Disasters (PART 2) Flashcards
How do we monitor the effectiveness of control programmes?
- Estimate disease burden
- Identify risk groups
- Determine incidence trends over time
- Measure outcomes & impacts of preventive, treatment & public health interventions
• Evaluate the overall control interventions
What do you need to know when undertaking health programmes and disease control activities?
- Population makeup: Numbers, Ages! Sex ratios
- The health status of the population
- What diseases affect the population?
- Who might be affected?
- Any information about transmission (e.g. seasonal factors,
vectors) - What is the makeup, skills etc. of the health services?
- What health care facilities are available?
Define Epidemiology
The study of diseases in human populations in order to promote, protect & restore health
Define Disaster Epidemiology
The use of epidemiological methods to study and manage the public health aspects of disasters
Describe one epidemiological method to study and manage public health aspects of disasters
Time, Person & place
How can Time be used as an epidemiological method to study and manage public health aspects of disasters?
- When did the problem start?
- Is it still happening?
- If it has finished – when?
- What might have been happening at those times?
How can a person be used as an epidemiological method to study and manage public health aspects of disasters?
- Old?
- Young?
- Female?
- Male?
- Defined group?
- Characteristics?
How can a Place be used as an epidemiological method to study and manage public health aspects of disasters?
- By Finding out:
- Where is it happening?
- What are the characteristics of that place?
- How is the population distributed in that place?
How can numbers and rates be used as epidemiological methods?
- Number of cases: Assess needs for resources (Human & material). Can be misleading regarding disease situation
- Rates (Numbers per unit of population): Assess changes of disease levels in the population. Compare different locations. Used to calculate key indicators
List some small elements you need to be careful about with epidemiological methods
- Small datasets: Small changes can have big results
- Statistical significance: Is it statistically significant? If no then even if one dataset appears to differ from the other it does not mean that it is actually different
- See above #1 – you need a certain minimum size of sample for valid statistical analysis
List the key indicators of mortality #1
- Changes in mortality rates are often the first indicator of
health problems. - Crude Mortality Rate (CMR)
- The most important - indicates the severity of the problem: Changes in CMR show how a medical emergency is developing. Usually number of deaths / 10,000 persons / day
- CMR >1/10,000/day = acute emergency is developing
- The emergency phase lasts until the daily CMR falls to 1/10,000/day or below
List the key indicators of mortality #2
- Age-specific mortality rate - mortality rate for a specified age group.
- In children usually given as: No. deaths in <5y & >5y / 1,000 children of each age / day
- Cause specific death rates (case fatality rates)
- % of cases of a specified condition fatal within a specified time.
List the key indicators of mortality #3
- Maternal mortality rate: No. of mothers dying from puerperal causes within x days of giving birth / y births / z time
- Maternal death: the death of a woman whilst pregnant
or within 42 days* of the termination of the pregnancy,
from any cause related to the pregnancy or its
management. (* Can be 1 year) - A sensitive indicator of the effectiveness of health care
systems.
What is the incidence rate and Prevalence rate of Morbidity?
- Incidence Rate: The number of new cases during defined period of time
- Prevalence rate: The total number of cases in a population at a given time
List other indicators
- Nutritional situation: Prevalence of: Global acute malnutrition, Severe acute malnutrition, Micronutrient deficiencies. Number of children needing selective feeding programmes (SFP)
- Immunisation: Need for programme, Effectiveness of programme
- Vital needs: Water, Sanitation, Food & Shelter
- Health service activities: Consultations, hospital admissions, laboratories, cold chain