Chapter 24 - Failure of Diplomacy in Syria Flashcards
Number of Casualties
460,000
Timeline
March 2011 - Arab Spring Protests, Syrian Army uses violence, Free Syrian Army rebels
2012 - Becomes proxy war. Extremists fight with Rebels, Saudi Arabia and gulf states fund.Iran, Hezbollah support Assad.
Questions Arising from Chemical Weapon Use
War Crimes - where’s R2P?
When does intervention cause more harm than good?
Indicators of Diplomatic Failure
Lack of ceasefire.
High casualty rate.
Breaches of international law.
Lack of security and order.
3 Major Obstacles
Sovereignty v Intervention
Impossibility of a Political Solution
Preference for International Order over Justice
Sovereignty v Intervention
Russia/China have vetoed condemning rights violations and ceasefires
Russia frames the West’s actions as colonial habits.
Impossibility of Political Solution
Broader Shi’ite / Sunni tensions
Great power involvement
Kofi Annan
UN Special Representative for Syria in 2012
6 Point Plan that would include great power
Lakhdar Brahimi
UN Special Representative for Syria in 2012
Great powers not using their leverage for peace.
Staffan de Mistura
UN Special Representative in 2014
Created International Syrian Support Group (ISSG)
Still the rep.
Preference for International Order over Justice
Sarin gas use was condemned by great powers.
Coercive power works when the P5 are united.
Constructivism and Syria
Legitimacy is gained through identity and ethnic discourse.
So, the goals of the parties are not rational. This is why it’s been so hard to reach an agreement.
How can institutions actually change old practices of war-making.