Chapter 1 Flashcards
Overconfidence
Overestimate our intuition
Hindsight Bias
The tendency to believe after learning an outcome that one would have foreseen it. I knew it all along phenomenon
Critical thinking
Thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. Rather it examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence, and asses conclusions. Smart thinking, asking questions
Scientific method
Form of drawing conclusions including making observations, form theories, and refine theories in the light of new observations
Theory
Explanation using integrated set of principles that organizes and predicts observations. Simplifies things. Useful summary.
Hypothesis
Testable prediction, often implied by a theory
Operational definitions
Statement of the procedures used to define research variables
Replicate
Repeating the essence of a research study usually with new situations
Case study
Observation technique in which one person is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principles
Survey
Technique for ascertaining the self reported attitudes or behaviors of people usually by questioning a representative, random sample of them, looks at many cases in less depth
False consensus effect
Tendency to overestimate the extent to which others share our beliefs and behaviors
Population
The whole group from which samples may be drawn for a study
Random sample
Sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
Naturalistic observations
Observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation
Correlate
Measure of the extent to which 2 factors vary together, and thus of how well either factor predicts the other