Chapter 1 Flashcards
Hindsight Bias
The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it.(also known as the I knew it all along phenomenon)
How does our everyday thinking sometimes lead us to a wrong conclusion?
Having a hindsight bias, being overconfident and perceiving order in random events.
Why, after friends start dating, do we often feel that we knew they were meant to be together?
We often suffer from a hindsight bias.
What are the three ingredients to a scientific attitude?
Curiosity, skepticism, and humility.
What’s the definition of a theory?
An explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events.
Hypothesis
A testable prediction, often implied by a theory.
Operational Definition
A carefully worded statement of the exact procedures used in a research study.
Replication
Repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding can be reproduced.
How do theories advance psychological science?
They organize observations, and generate hypotheses, and can also confirm, reject, or revise theories.
What does a good theory do?
organize observed facts, implies hypotheses that offer testable predictions and, sometimes, practical observations; it also stimulates further research.
Why is replication important?
To confirm results in studies and help be more confident of its reliability.
Case study
A descriptive technique in which one individual or group is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principles.
Naturalistic observation
A descriptive technique of observing and recording behavior in its natural state without trying to control and manipulate the situation.
We cannot assume that case studies always reveal general principles that apply to all of us. Why not?
Case studies involve only one individual or group, so we cant know fore sure whether the principles observed would apply to a macro perspective.
What are some advantages and disadvantages of naturalistic observation?
For advantages, it allows researchers to observe behavior in more natural settings, provides ideas for future research, obtains descriptive data, and allows ideas to not be manipulated. For disadvantages, it individuals may act different when observed, we are unknown to other variables, we aren’t sure what’s going on in a persons mind, and observer bias may play a role.