6T: EBM5: Screening and Diagnostic Tests Flashcards
3 types of prevention
Primary: Prevent disease from occurring
Secondary: Identify disease process early, to prevent sequelae or initiate treatment
Tertiary: Minimize mortality and morbidity
What is the goal of screening?
To detect disease early in order to prevent mortality and morbidity
Lead Time Bias
when extra follow up time is added to the screened group. In reality, the screening test has no impact on the course of the disease, but it appears to be protective because of the increased follow up.
Length Bias
Diseases can progress slow or fast. Diseases that progress slower are going to be easier to detect in their pre-clinical phase, because their pre-clinical phase is longer.
Overdiagnosis
A type of length bias pertaining to slow growing cancers. Overdiagnosed cancers can be cured, but don’t need to be because the cancer will not go on to cause symptoms/death. If mortality rates remain stable despite increased screening then this is a sign of overdiagnosis.
Essential features of a “screenable” disease
- disease is common or of unusual severity
- disease has a known natural history and lag phase between possible detection and irreversible outcome
- disease is treatable
Essential features of a screening test
- acceptable to the public
- risk/benefit profile is favorable
- economically and technically feasible
- accurate and repeatable
- acceptable levels of sensitivity and specificity
test validity
ability to distinguish between who has a disease and who does not
test sensitivity
the ability of a test to correctly identify those who have the disease - pro: few false negatives - con: worry about false positives - used to rule out disease = TP/(TP + FN)
test specificity
the ability of a test to correctly identify those who do not have a disease - pro: few false positives - con: worry about false negatives - used to rule in disease = TN/(TN + FP)
unimodal vs. bimodal test distribution
unimodal curves have one peak
bimodal curves have two peaks
Positive predictive value (PPV)
The probability that disease is present given that the test is positive
= TP/(TP + FP)
Negative predictive value (NPV)
Probability that disease is not present given that the test is negative
= TN/(TN + FN)
What does prevalence effect? (sensitivity, specificity, NPV and PPV)
Prevalence effects PPV and NPV, but not specificity or sensitivity. For diseased with higher prevalence, we would use a test with a higher PPV
define:
a. pretest probability
b. posttest probability
a. prevalence is also called pretest probability. It is the probability of disease before the test result is known
b. also called the predictive value. It is the probability of disease after test result is known