5/10/24 - Lecture 22: Diseases Flashcards
What are diseases caused by?
Micro- and macroparasites such as viruses, bacteria, worms, etc.
How can diseases be transmitted?
They can be transmitted via casual contact, sexually, or a vector (ex: mosquito)
R0
Average number of people infected by an individual during their infectious period in a mostly susceptible population
What is R0 equal to?
R0 = pCD
D: Duration of infectious period in D days
C: Rate of contact of C individuals per day
p: Probability of transmission at contact
Effective reproductive number R
Expected number of cases caused by a typical infectious individual in a population that need not be wholly susceptible.
Keeps decreasing over the course of the epidemic. At the peak, it is = 1 and R < 1 thereafter
How to find R0, r, or t
R0 = e^rt
If you’re given one of these three variables (R0, r, or t), you can calculate the other
How does vaccination affect R0? What is the significance of this?
It turns R0 to (1-v)R0.
v: proportion of population vaccinated
Then we just need (1-v)R0 < 1 to eradicate the disease
Herd immunity
Only have to vaccinate a fraction of the population to eradicate a disease
Why don’t hosts evolve to become completely resistant to a pathogen?
Because of tradeoffs. For example, the host may not be able to produce as many offspring.
Why might a pathogen evolve to become less lethal?
Because of tradeoffs. For example, if it kills too many, then it won’t have any hosts to infect