2.2.1 Sales forecasting Flashcards
Sales forecast
A sales forecast estimates the volume or value of future sales using market research or past sales data
Purpose of sales forecasting
-avoid cash flow problems
-frees up management time
-production capacity
-employ more workers
-start promotional activity
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Purpose of sales forecasting - avoid cash flow problems
Helps the business to manage their production, staff and financing needs more effectively and possibly avoid unforeseen cash flow problems
Purpose of sales forecasting - frees up management time
a well-constructed sales forecast can allow the business owners to spend more time developing their business rather than responding to day-day developments in sales and marketing
Purpose of sales forecasting - production capacity
- Can use a sales forecast to estimate if they need ti increase or decrease production. Allow them to see if they have enough production capacity to deal with the expected demand
- business may need to buy or rent new premises if there is a huge increase in sales forecast
Purpose of sales forecasting - employ more workers
If a business has high sales forecasts for a new product or service it may need to take on new employees to cope with new levels of demand
-Failure to meet required staffing levels could result in poor reviews, customer service and this may have an impact on future sales
Purpose of sales forecasting - start promotional activity
If sales are forecast to be very low and the product or service is not in the decline phase of the product lifecycle - then the business may decide to try and increase sales through promotion and marketing
Factors affecting sales forecast
Consumer trends
economic variables
actions of competitors
Factors affecting sales forecast - consumer trends
- A sales forecast may take into account consumer trends
- Documents like MINTEL can help businesses identify an upcoming trend
- Market research to find new popular products
Factors affecting sales forecast - economic variables
Variables - interes rates, inflation, unemployment rate and GDP can affect how a business plans its sales forecast
Factors affecting sales forecast - Actions of competitors
the actions of competitors may affect sales forecasting
-if the business has products that face declining sales, due to a competitors superior product they may decide to produce or sell less of those products.
Difficulties of sales forecasting
No guarantees of success
dynamic markets
short term
Difficulties of sales forecasting - no guarantees of success
No guarantees that sales will meet these levels
-This could be down to any number of uncertain factors
Difficulties of sales forecasting - dynamic markets
Trends for fashion and customer interest constantly change making it hard to estimate the demand for products
Difficulties of sales forecasting - short term
a sales forecast is useful to a business which can produce and sell products or services in a one year period