2.2.1 Cash flow forecasts/sales forecasting Flashcards
Cash flow forecast
a financial document showing projected inflows and outflows of cash into and out of a business
Benefits of producing a cash flow forecast
- to look at the liquidity of a firm
- budgeting - cost budgets and revenue budgets
- budgeting is part of a business plan to access finance
- helps to plan liquidity to avoid cash flow shortages - without cash a business may fail
Which stakeholder groups would look at a cash flow forecast?
- shareholders
- bank
- creditors - people you owe money to
- suppliers
- potential investors
What are the limitations of a cash flow forecast?
- based on assumptions
- may go out of date - only a 12 month snapshot which is very short term to make an concrete decisions
- unexpected external factors
- may be over optimistic and over estimate cash flows
- only as good as the information used to produce - historic/zero-based
- to get a full picture the business would need to show a balance sheet and the profit and loss income statement
How can a business improve its cash flow position?
- change payment terms from customer that you sell to on trade credit
- change payment terms from suppliers/creditors
- liquidate its assets
- re-schedule short term debts
- spread payments
What is meant by opening balance and how is this calculated?
calculate from the closing balance from the previous month
What is meant by closing balance and how is this calculated?
net cash flow + opening balance
What is meant by net cash flow and how is this calculated?
inflows-outflows
Sales forecast
a sales forecast is a prediction of the future value of sales made by a business in a time period
Purposes of a sales forecast
- plan operation - capacity management, stock management, staffing
- to create budgets and targets - can used to motivate
- to create a cash flow forecast
- helps to consider promotional budgets
- to decide if a product is viable or not
External factors that affect a sales forecast
-economic state, interest rates, consumer confidence, unemployment - can impact demand
-seasons
-consumer trends
actions of competitors
-changes in regulations and laws
-demographics
-technology
-environmental changes
Difficulties of sales forecasting
- uncertainty in the external environment that can make it difficult to predict
- can go out of date quickly
- for a new company or product, there is no historical data that can be used - quantitative data needs to be used
- dynamic markets can make it hard as the future may be different from the past
Price of elasticity of demand
measures the responsiveness of demand to a change in price
Income elasticity of demand
measures the responsiveness of demand to a change in income
Inferior and normal goods
Inferior - negative YED (demand increases as income falls)
normal = positive YED (demand falls as income falls)