1.7 Planning tools (HL) Flashcards
Purpose of a Fishbone diagram?
Identify cause and effect of quality problems
A concept closely related to Fishbone diagram?
Toyota’s 5 why’s
What is represented by the head of a fish?
The effect
What is represented by the bones of a fish?
Causes
What are the 4 M’s for manufacturing problem categories of Fishbone tool?
- Manpower (people?)
- Methods
- Materials
- Machines
What are the 4 P’s for Services problem categories of Fishbone tool?
- People
- Procedures (methods?)
- Politics (methods?)
- Places
What are the 4 S’s for Administration/Public sector problem categories of Fishbone tool?
- Skills (people?)
- Suppliers (people?)
- Systems (methods?)
- Surroundings (places, machines?)
What are the steps of Fishbone technic?
- Brainstorming among the group
- Identifying all possible causes
- Discarding those causes that do not directly relate/ are not the root cause of the effect
Limitations of a Fishbone technic?
- May show causes but no solutions
- May lead to blaming and arguments
- Requires honesty
- Requires a follow-up system
- Ignores priorities
- Ignores quantitative factors
What tool is closely related to a Decision tree?
Probability tree in Math
How many options/choices for a decision may be considered under a decision tree
As it seems appropriate
How many outcomes may there be for one option within the Decision tree tool?
In a simplistic approach we have just succeed' (larger returns expected) or
fail’ (unsatisfactory returns)
But we can make more estimates, assessing e.g.:
- Best case scenario,
- Worst case,
- Most probable case scenarios, or even adding more cases.
The point is, that the sum of probability of all these cases must be 100%
What is the expected value?
Expected value of each option=
Probability (%) of one case * its estimated returns + Probability (%) of the next case * its estimated return (etc)
(The managerial decisions however must also consider the costs of each option)
What deductions should the manager consider after the calculated expected values?
The related costs, to arrive to the expected values less costs.
Limitations of a Decision tree?
- Estimates (of probability or returns), on which the decision is based, may turn out to be poor;
- It ignores qualitative factors
- May become too oh complex with many options