Uk Econ Stats Flashcards
Annual growth rate
0.1% 2023
Quaterly growth rate - q4 2023
-0.3%
Stagnating growth technically recession as q3 too- poor productivity and increasnig cost push
annual growth forecast
0.8% 2024
Potential gorwth rate
Pre 2008- 2.5%
Currently around 1%
Output gap
-0.1%
Negative
Actual growth below potential growth
Gdp per capita
36k
Total gdp
2.53bn
Breakdown uk econ
Servcies 79%
Manufacturing 14%
Construction 6%
Agriculture 1%
Unemployment rate
4.2%
Expected to rise
Cyclical rate
Nairu
3.5%
Employment rate
74.5%
Economic inactivity rate
22,2%
People not seeking not able not willing work but of working age
Many not returned 50-60yo to workforce after covid
Increase lt sick
Increases labour shrotage
Wage growth
5.6%
Those in work mroe bargaining power high as labour market small
Inflation fallen now
Yet hgh wage gortwh could push cost and demand inflation
Job vacancy
Falling
Loose labour market
Few job vacancies available
Youth unemployment
18-24
11%
Consumer confidence
Very weak
High inflaion
High interest rates
Fiscal drag
Cpi inflation
3,2%
Disinflationary pressure
Has fallen
Peaked 11.1% oct
Core inflation rate
4.2%
Cpi without food, fuel ect- volatile
producer price inflation
0.6%
Tracks change input and output prices- gate to shop
inflation expectations
3.3%
Current account deficit
3.2% gdp
min wage
11.44
Exchaneg rate
Weak pound- yet not improved current account
Since brexit
Us- strong
Euro area- stagnating
Budget deficit
4.2% 2023-24
Ever since covid
Nat debt
98% gdp
More interest payments than on education
Imf raised concern default on debt
Bond yields
4.2%
Has now come down since truss
Constractionary fiscal policy- progressive income tax
Income tax rates
Frozen 2029- fiscal drag
45% top rate- 125k
Estimated earn 45bn for gov per year by 2028
Equivalent 7% increase
National insurance
12-10-8%
Corporation tax
19 to 25%
Gini coefficient
Increased 0.357
Boe base rate
5.25%
Av lending grate
6.25%
Bank willingness to lend
Good
Consumer confidence
Very weak
Business confidence
Poor but positive sign
savings ratio
10.5%
Qe
895bn
Total amount boe pumped into gov
Started in 2009
More than half in 2020 covid
Size of uk workforce
32.98 mill