Essay Q Flashcards
Explain the main problems for an econ of having a large positive output gap
demand-pull inflation as too much money is chasing too few goods
o cost-push inflation due to labour shortages
o wage-price spirals
o rising imports as consumption is rising and possible leakages rise
o falling exports if inflationary pressure occurs
o an increase in the current account deficit
o unsustainable asset price rises
o potential effects on the exchange rate
What to consider when discussing budget deficit
Sturctural or cyclical
Arguments why a currnet account defiifct may need to be reduced
it could indicate lack of productivity
o it could cause depreciation of currency
o possible risk of capital flight
o it could cause problems for a country’s reserves
o a surplus on the financial section of the balance of payments increasing international
indebtedness
o deflationary pressure
o it could indicate structural weaknesses
o effects on jobs such as structural unemployment
Method to calculate the rate of inflation from index numbers
Minus index no (y2) from previous index no (year before)
Divide that number by origional number 9y1) x 100
How do subsidies improve competitive advantae
Lower average costs therefore firms lower prices where demand is elastic, increasing competition adv, thus sales, thus boost exports
Or
Subsidies rd increase innovation/quality and thus gain com adv where demand less price sensitive in international markets boost exports
Which industries should be targetted by protectionist measures in developing country
Reduce in Industries unlikely to have comparative adv to give consumers access to cheaper ipmorts and thus benefitting from the income effect
while identifying those industries that have comparative adv to exploit export led growth
For 10 markers p3
3x points explain and judgement with limitations
Need overall conc
National living wage 25 marker
May help imporve living standards
Exports
Real wage unemp
Nat living wage- improve living standars
Reduce those living in poverty yet are employed, poverty defined as having an income les sthan 60% nat mediam
Poor quality ofl life- individ less disposable income to spend on gs from which derive utility and pleasure
Alieviate ppressur eon gov welfare spnening, enabling gov to spend on imporving capacity of econ
Increased spending on education create silled workforce- innovative and productive
May reduce unemp trap and replacement ratio- alongside cuts in beneifts- work more financially rewarding
Exports- nlw
Increase in prices- cost push inflation,
Increase cost british exports less comp
Esp with weak productivity growth
However- unlikkely to be the case as exports high value added- workers relatively skilled paid more than min wage
May impact smaller businesses
Employment- nlw
Increase unemp real wage unemp with excess supply
Shift with greater automation- technological unemp= labour to capital increasing productivity
But Obr predicted this would lead to 60,000 unemp in 2020- small number of 1.4mill
Depends on elasticity for demand- currently inelastic even in less skiled industries such as retail hospitality- we are service bassed econ
Boost emp due to increased ad with higher wages
Monospony power many sectors - min wage boost emp and reduce exploitation reduce welfare payments universla credit to working poor that employers such as amazon appeared to have been exploitning
Gov of sri lanka should cut its spending to reduce its debt
No
-cyclical v structural
-has financed merit goods- which should not be cut
Y
-accelerating inflation- undermine confidence- finance spneding through print more money
-areas to cut spending
-increase taxation
Context nat debt
As a result of covid, nat debt in many developed and less developed econ rose above 100% of gdp
Danger of high gov debt
Esp less developed econ such as sir lanka
If creditors lack confidence in econ ability repay its debts and unwilling to finance futhrer loans may cause signif fall gov spending ad
Render econ bankrupt
In order to cut debt where should cut
May fall anyway due to automatic stabilisers
-not welfare on education- damage lt econ growth
-not on healthcare,nutrition, safety net programmes could increase absolute poopverty and inequalit
-could postpone infrasturcture- or possibly aim to attract foriegn aid
-could cut military spending
or examples gov failure or waste due to inefficiney- excess ciil servants- spending reduced without damaging growth
Cut debt through increasing taxes
Higher ncome groups with bigger share nat income, beneffitted strong growth
Tax riases careful avoid laffer curve- avoidance and brain drain
Indirect taxes raised on demerit goods- cigarettes and alcohol hypothecated cover healthcare costs
Raise tourism taxes and excise duties on luxury goods sold to tourists- sri lanka luxury and so inelastic destination
Limiting tourism using pigouvian taxes could limit pollution and neg externlaitis whilst raising tax rev
Sucessful in luxury destinations such as glapagos islands
Global slowdown
Slowing increase in gdp
Less than 3% grothh
As pop may increase morme than increase gdpp
Uk mahor trading partners
Eu
Where would a decrease in exports affect
In manufacturing areas such as north and midleands
May lead to negative multiplier effect- contraction output less emp, less consumer spending less ad cycle cont
Exports in uk strnegth
6th bigest world
Impmact of decrease exports on investment
Decrease exports
Decrease gdp
Lead to decrease investment accelerator
When does crowding out effect not happen
When in recession or neg output gap
Why do exporters produce less in global recession
Produce less because lss demand in recession
Impact of sustained global slowdown on living standards
Decreased demand birtish exports- increase emp as cut output- lower gov beneifts, less disposable income, purchaisnggoods and servcies
Fall in exports may lead to negative multipleier effect esp manufacturing regions of uk
Diagram neg output gap
Reduction in investment- accelerator- less comp, worse living standards as shut
May lead to reduction in demand imports, as whilst in theroy cheaper imports from less grotwh oevrseas, depreciaition of pound 9iin source) makes more expesnive, reducing demand income elasticity imports such as foirgen holidays