The World as It is, Ben Rhodes Flashcards
Primary elections
Clinton / Obama flaws
- Clinton, too closed to Bush because she voted for the Iraq war, couldn’t be trusted to bring change
- Obama wasn’t experienced enough
Objectives after 8 years of Bush
- wind down the wars
- reinvigorate diplomacy
restore America’s standing around the world
Rumors on Obama before elections
- Muslim
- Kenyan
- terrorist sympathizer
NATO Summit, Strasbourg, 2009
Obama asked countries to increase their troop commitments in Afghanistan
Turkey, 2009
Promise of the campaign: he recognized the 1915 Armenian genocide
Impact of the Iraq war on Obama’s election
Rhodes thinks Obama would have never become president without the Iraq war
American contradictions : Afghanistan
War on terrorism in Afghanistan against jihadists who were armed by the US in the 80s
American contradictions : Israel
Palestinian Peace Agreement while foreign assistance finances the Israeli military (occupation of Palestinian territory)
Which prison did Obama want to close and why?
Guantanamo “Gitmo” because it represented a threat to American national security.
2009, King Badullah let the US down by refusing to take detainees.
War of Afghanistan’s nickname
- Obama’s war
- given by the media because he had supported it and called for more brigades
Difference between Al Qaeda and Talibans
- Al Qaeda is a terrorist group trying to attack the US
- Talibans are domestic political actors inside Afghanistan
Afghanistan surge, 2009
- Obama didn’t want to send more troops but his advisors disagreed
- Ultimately he decided to send 30 000 troops + 10 000 NATO
- “temporary surge” supposed to last 18 months
- to secure the population centers
- training and counterterrorism
New START Treaty
- Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty
- signed in April 2010 by Obama and Medvedev
- the reduction and limitation of strategic offensive arms
Midterms 2010
- Republicans took control of the House
- Senate remained Democrat
2 different worlds
- inside the US
- outside the US (deeper connection with the people)
Start of the Arab Spring in Tunisia and Egypt
- Started in Tunisia (Bouazizi), Ben Ali fled power in January 2011
- Cairo: people started to set fire to themselves to protest against repression, corruption and Mubarak
US position on Egypt and challenges
- the US backed Egypt by providing decades of military assistance following the Camp David Accords (1978)
- challenge: side of the people in the streets (young team) or the side of the autocrats (senior team, stability with Mubarak)?
- the US had to be on the right side of History
Clinton’s opinion on Egyptian government during the Arab Spring
- it was stable
- she would put forward the Egyptian government’s view (close relationship during Clinton’s mandates)
Biden’s opinion on Mubarak
He was not a dictator
Obama’s statement on Egypt (written by Rhodes)
- universal rights
- respect
- refrain from violence
- pursue “a path of political change”
End of Mubarak
- televised statement saying he would resign but not enough for Obama who wanted him to step down
- Frank Wismer (former ambassador in Egypt) sent to counsel Mubarak
- Cameron: need to be more aggressive
- February 11th: Mubarak’s resignation
- Obama admitted it was easier because he didn’t know Mubarak contrary to the Bushes, Clintons, Biden
Reaction of the US towards the Libya uprising
- Global impression the US was too slow (revolt led by social media)
- Most people in government didn’t want to do anything
- Libya was not a priority
- Sarkozy to push UNSC for a no-fly zone to prevent Gaddafi’s planes from bombing civilians and rebel forces
- Rice: Gaddafi would massacre civilians. She put forward an “all necessary measures” to protect civilians
- Rice, Clinton and Power: duty to join the French and British. Humanitarian risks. Obama picked their side
- Gates and Biden: against intervention because no American interest in Libya and the regime was not a direct threat
- Rhodes: the international community is ready to act, the US mustn’t just watch
- Cameron and Sarkozy would lead after a period of days
Results of the operation in Libya
- Gaddafi’s forces were stopped on the outskirts of Benghazi
- tens of thousands of lives might have been saved
- not a single American was injured
- transfer to NATO command with French and British pilots
- New Yorker “leading from behind”
- Trump states Americans were killed
- October 2011: Gaddafi was killed
Bin Laden
- compound in Abbottabad in Pakistan
- Biden against a raid
- Gates compared it to Desert one (failure - Jimmy Carter)
- Clinton voted yes
- the risk of Bin Laden escaping was superior to the risk of the mission
- Rhodes prepared 4 speeches for 4 different scenarios
- White House Correspondents’ Dinner the day before the raid (Obama released his birth certificate a few days before)
- Photo album of the operation never released (Obama’s choice)
Spring 2011: assessments
- 100 000 troops had left Iraq
- the economy had stabilized
- healthcare reform was law
- Bin Laden was dead
- the war in Afghanistan was about to turn to deescalation
- the Arab Spring brought the promise of positive change
- BUT supporting characters (Congress, world) were missing
Trip to the UK, 2011
- David Plouffe (2008 campaign manager): the Queen would be a “great validator” for white people (2012 campaign around the corner)
- Obama first president to speak to the British Parliament
- Speech: broad defense of Western values
Trip to Russia, 2011
- to meet President Medvedev
- they got along after the 2008 crisis (invasion of Georgia)
- New START treaty
- agreement to resupply US troops in Afghanistan through Russia
- cooperated to enforce stronger sanctions on Iran
- Medvedev supported Obama. Putin (PM) criticized Medvedev
Syrian crisis, Summer 2011
- the people wanted Bashar al-Assad to fall but he was supported by Russia and Iran
- Free Syrian Army was formed to resist the regime
- August: statement for Assad to step aside, followed by Cameron, Sarkozy and Merkel
United Nations General Assembly, September 2011
- hot issue: welcoming Palestine. The US would support Israel
- Sarkozy showed his support for Palestinian recognition
Trip to Burma, November 2011
- Suu Kyi was released
- Clinton went to visit
Trip to Asia, November 2011
- to elevate the importance of the Asia Pacific Region (Asia seemed to represent the future)
- Hawaii, APEC summit. TPP (the US would write the rules of international trade and not China)
- Bali for the East Asia Summit (first time US President)
- Burma: opening engagement with the Burmese government
US troops in Irak, December 2011
The last convoy of US stroops left Iraq (agreement signed by Bush before Obama took office)