Statistical inference Flashcards

1
Q

what is the statistical cycle?

A

a cycle use to carry out a statistical investigation

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2
Q

what are the stages in the statistical cycle?

A

1) research design
2) sampling
3) descriptive statistics
4) inferential statistics
5) prediction / conclluton (on the population)

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3
Q

what does descriptive statistics try to answer?

A

how does the sample look like?

help describe, show or summarise data in a meaningful way

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4
Q

what do inferential statistics try to answer?

A

what s happening in the population?

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5
Q

what are inferential statistics?

A

techniques that allow us to use samples to make generalisations about the populations from which the samples were drawn

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6
Q

what are the types of inferential statistics we are looking at?

A
  • hypothesis testing

- estimation of parameters

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7
Q

what are the steps involved with conducting quantitative research?

A

1) define the research hypothesis for the study
2) collect data and explain how you operationally define what you are studying and set out variable to be studied (how you measure)
3) conduct hypothesis testing and draw conclusion

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8
Q

what is defining research hypothesis based on?

A

based on observation and literature review

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9
Q

2) operationalising variables - why should you be clear about how you measure what we are studying?

A
  • so that people are in no doubt what what we are studying
  • if study repeated they will get the same or similar results (internal validity)
  • determines the statistical test
  • examinar assesses how you define what you are measuring
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10
Q

what are examples of ways in which you can measures variables?

A
  • intelligence = IQ
  • company performance = ROA (return of assets)

always important to look at literature first to see whether you are going to keep the vameasures the same

need to define the variables in study such as independent and dependant

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11
Q

what is a statistical hypothesis?

A

an assertion, claim or prediction concerning one or more

population perimeters

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12
Q

what is a population parameter?

A

a characteristic of a population

e. g. a statistic is a characteristic of the sample
e. g. mean income of subscribers to a magazine

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13
Q

how do you understand the differences of individuals in a study?

A

simply summarise the data

people in the study are the sample and larger group they represent is the population

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14
Q

what is the problem of sampling error?

A

the error that occurs when observing a sample instead of the whole population

drawing conclusions from the sample to the population is never certain unless we examine the whole population

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15
Q

why do we use hypothesis testing?

A

to understand whether any differences or effects discovered in the study exist in the population

establish whether a research hypothesis extends beyond those individuals examined in a single study

by takin this approach you want to generalise results to a population rather than just students in their sample

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16
Q

what are the steps of hypothesis testing?

A

1) state null H then select an appropriate alternative H
2) determine the level of significance
3) make a one or two tailed prediction ]

4) compute value of the test statistic from the sample
p value

5) decision: reject null if statistic has a value in the critical regions

17
Q

what are the null and alternative hypothesis?

A

statements regarding the differences or effects that occur in the population

mutually exclusive and together exhausted

Null = assumes whatever you are trying to prove did not happen, no relationship or significance

alt = there is a relationship etc

18
Q

what is the level of significance (a) ?

A

once hypothesis have been identified then you have to find evidence and develop a strategy for declaring support for either hypothesis

calculate a probability of observing you sample results given that the null is true

if there is a 5% or less chance (0.05) then you would usually accept the alternative

19
Q

why is 5% used as level of significance rather than 1 or 10%?

A

widely used in academic research, others are used to be more confident

1% - stringent, 1 in 100 chance or it happening

20
Q

what is a one tailed hypothesis?

A

has a direction

effect is going to be negative

21
Q

what is a two tailed hypothesis?

A

do not make a choice over the direction

simply implies there will be a difference but this difference is unknown

22
Q

why is the null hypothesis usually formulated?

A

in the hope of rejecting them, we need empirical evidence to do so

23
Q

what is the central limit theorem?

A

states that the sampling distribution of the sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample gets larger, no matter what the shape of the population distribution

as you take are samples, especially larger ones, your graph of the sample means will look more like a normal distribution

24
Q

what is an essential component of the central limit theorem?

A

average of your sample means will be the population mean

add up the means from all your samples, find the average and that average will be your actual population mean

similarly if you fid the average of all the standard deviations in your sample, you’ll find the average for population

25
Q

why is central limit theorem useful

A

help predict characteristics of a population

26
Q

what is sampling distribution of the sample means?

A

a probability distribution

consists of the means of all radom samples of size n that can be drawn from a population

27
Q

what is the standard error of means equal to?

A

standard deviation of sample population

when sample is larger >30 the standard deviation of all the possible sample means is known as the standard error