Starlizard Prep Flashcards
What does ICT stand for?
Influence, creativity, threat
Best signing so far? (get stats?)
Maddison
Other mentions:
Diaby
Szoboslai
Van der ven
Vicario
Worse Signing so far?
Caicdeo
Other mentions
Havertz
Tonali
Mount
Best XI?
Martinez
Estupinian
Botman
Saliba
James
Onana
Paqueta
Fernandes
Son
Salah
Haaland
If Kane was still in premier league would try get Rodri in the team
Wanted palhinia at CDM but difficult to leave out Bruno
What effects outcome in football matches?
Everything to the tiniest of details, the more levels of data you can put into a model the better
Speak about learn to code with soccer as well
Ranking MLS players?
Used EAFC24 rating is quite universal - 36 ratings 1-99, difficult to rank intelligence eg. Muller
Mixed with fotmob rating and POTM awards
The relevance of position
To make this even better signed into MLS fantasy football gives further stats
Describe the Betfair Exchange?
Betfair is a mediator, bets are placed by individuals
Therefore the odds are determined by the market, if lots of back an outcome, the odds will decrease, if lots of people lay an outcome the odds will increase
How to work out pay out of lay bet if back and lay commission are 0 when matching a bet?
stake multiplied by (back odds / lay odds)
When to back or lay on the exchange market?
We place a LAY bet when we think that the odds are too low and the possibility of the result is higher. We place a BACK bet when we think that the odds are too high, and then they will fall when other players and bookmakers realize that the odds should be lowered.
Example Man City to win is evens, but we actually think its a 60% chance they win (1.67), we therefore want to back the bet
This can be later hedged by laying if odds changed
Newcastle to not to win is available as a lay bet of evens, but we actually think its a 40% chance (2.5) that they win, we therefore want to lay the bet
This can be later hedged by backing the bet
Lay betting explained?
Placing £10 on a 5/1 shot will win you a profit of £50. Straightforward.In effect, the formula is reversed when it comes to laying.To make a profit of £10, the layer would have to be willing to risk £50
So you basically are saying to someone else, I’ll take your bet on, ill act as the bookmaker and choosing what there stake is
Expected value?
(Probabilty of winning x stake won) - (Probabilty of losing x stake lost)
Probability fundamentals?
Event of a probability not occurring is 1 - probability of it occurring
If events aren’t mutually exclusive you add
If events are mutually exclusive (cannot happen simultaneously) you multiply
Probability Venn diagrams?
A = all of A highlighted including the intersect
B = all of B highlighted including intersect
A’ = Everything highlighted except A and the middle
B’ = Everything highlighted except B and the intersect
A U B = A and B and the middle highlighted
A n B = only the middle highlighted
How to find the number of outcomes in a probability question?
Do the number of options to the amount of times picked
If probabilities vary then do a sample space diagram
Learn to code with soccer Nathan Daunes?
Teaches Python, SQL (language used on large databases), and machine learning (makes own decisions)