Sales forecasting 2.2.1 Flashcards

1
Q

what is sales forecasting

A

the process of estimating future sales accurately

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2
Q

what is extrapolation

A

using trends from historical data to forecast the future

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3
Q

give 5 reasons why an accurate sales forecast is needed

A
  1. know how many workers to hire
  2. do I need temporary workers or any redundancies?
  3. how many products need to sell to meet sales
  4. how much stock/materials are needed
  5. will i need to outsource?
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4
Q

give 6 factors which affect sales forecast

A
  • changing tastes and preferences
  • globalisation
  • taxation and inflation
  • quality issues
  • unmotivated workers
  • PESTLE + C
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5
Q

why are sales forecasts difficult to predict

A

business’s assume that the future sales will follow the same trend/path as recent sales however, this may not be accurate in the long term because markets are susceptible to economic change and competitors

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6
Q

in a correlation, which is the independent variable, and which is the dependant variable

A

variable 1 (x axis) = independent
variable 2 (y axis) = dependant

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7
Q

give an example of a positive correlation

A

temperature rises, so ice cream sales increase

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8
Q

give an example of a negative correlation

A

as the price of complementary goods increases, demand decreases

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9
Q

give 4 advantages of using extrapolation and correlation for sales forecasting

A
  1. helps to plan to an extent
  2. easy
  3. might help to secure funding
  4. useful for reliable products
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10
Q

give 4 disadvantages of using extrapolation and correlation for sales forecasting

A
  1. past is most likely not an accurate representation of the future
  2. the further you extrapolate, the more accuracy decreases
  3. unexpected events may affect demand
  4. business may be biased
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