Sales forecasting 2.2.1 Flashcards
what is sales forecasting
the process of estimating future sales accurately
what is extrapolation
using trends from historical data to forecast the future
give 5 reasons why an accurate sales forecast is needed
- know how many workers to hire
- do I need temporary workers or any redundancies?
- how many products need to sell to meet sales
- how much stock/materials are needed
- will i need to outsource?
give 6 factors which affect sales forecast
- changing tastes and preferences
- globalisation
- taxation and inflation
- quality issues
- unmotivated workers
- PESTLE + C
why are sales forecasts difficult to predict
business’s assume that the future sales will follow the same trend/path as recent sales however, this may not be accurate in the long term because markets are susceptible to economic change and competitors
in a correlation, which is the independent variable, and which is the dependant variable
variable 1 (x axis) = independent
variable 2 (y axis) = dependant
give an example of a positive correlation
temperature rises, so ice cream sales increase
give an example of a negative correlation
as the price of complementary goods increases, demand decreases
give 4 advantages of using extrapolation and correlation for sales forecasting
- helps to plan to an extent
- easy
- might help to secure funding
- useful for reliable products
give 4 disadvantages of using extrapolation and correlation for sales forecasting
- past is most likely not an accurate representation of the future
- the further you extrapolate, the more accuracy decreases
- unexpected events may affect demand
- business may be biased