Ratios & Risk Flashcards
Odds ratio equation
Odds of exposure in cases / Odds of exposure in controls
Odds equation
probability / (1 – probability)
Why do we look at odds ratio from case-control study?
it is not possible to calculate the incidence of disease in the exposed and non-exposed individuals
Odds ratio of 1
exposure is no more likely in cases than controls
Odds ratio < 1
exposure is less likely in case group
Odds ratio > 1
exposure is more likely in case group
Point prevalence equation
No. cases at set point in time/ No. people at set point in time
Relative risk
used as a measure of association between an exposure & disease
Relative risk equation
Incidence in exposed group / Incidence in unexposed group
Attributable risk
measure of exposure effect that indicates how much greater frequency of disease in exposed group is vs. unexposed, assuming relationship between exposure & disease is causal
Attributable risk equation
Incidence in the Exposed – Incidence in the Unexposed
Sample
relatively small number of observations/ patients from which we try to describe the whole population from which the sample has been taken
Sampling variation
differences in samples from same population
Normal distribution
a symmetrical distribution
How to deal with confounders at the design stage of a study
Randomisation
Restriction
Matching
Example of restriction to deal with confounders
include patients in a clinical trial only aged 18- 65 without pre-existing illness so results of trial are not confounded by different levels of age or morbidity
Matching to deal with confounders
controls are selected to have a similar distribution of potentially confounding variables to the cases, e.g. “matched” for sex
How to deal with confounders at the analysis stage of a study
Stratification
Standardisation
Regression
Stratification to deal with confounders
risks are calculated separately for each category of confounding variable e.g. age groups
Standardisation to deal with confounders
Used to produce a SMR
Regression to deal with confounders
statistical modelling is used to control for 1 or many confounding variables
Critical appraisal
systematically examining research evidence to assess its validity, results and relevance before using it to inform a decision.
Summarise a paper 1st before critically appraising
Why did they do it?
What did they do?
What did they find?
What did they conclude?
Critical appraisal, consider
Question Design Population Methods Analysis Confounders Bias Ethics Interpretation
Want to know whether difference is due to chancer statistically significant?
Set up a null hypothesis
Aim to disprove using evidence
If P< 0.05
There is a significant difference
Null hypothesis can be rejected