Power and Developments Flashcards

1
Q

What is population power and give an example.

A

A state with a larger population has larger military and economic capabilities; however, if a large amount lives in poverty, foreign policy may take the backburner
- China has now used its larger population to become the largest exporter but had to turn inwards after 2008 due to many being pushed into poverty

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2
Q

What is structural power and give an example.

A

A state’s capacity to influence the decision-making of IGOs.
- The P5 all have vetoes in the UNSC and the US essentially has a veto in the World Bank

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3
Q

What is regional power and give an example.

A

A state’s influence within a close region
- The US is the largest trading partner of Canada and Mexico and continues to influence South America

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4
Q

What is R&D power and give an example.

A

The amount a state spends on research and development, giving them a technological advantage
- The US was the first to develop the atom bomb

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5
Q

What is natural resource power and give an example.

A

States with large natural wealth can use it as bargaining chips or be more difficult to sanction due to others reliance on them
- Russia’s natural resources amount to $75tn and include coil, natural gas, and oil which countries like Italy (98% of their pipeline gas imports) rely on

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6
Q

What is hard power?

A

The ability of states to make other to do what they want, using ‘carrots’ or ‘sticks’

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7
Q

What is the ‘carrot’ and ‘stick’ of military power?

A
  • Carrot: military personnel or technology, such as the use of American missiles in Ukraine
  • Stick: use of power against a state
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8
Q

Give a Chinese, American, and Russian example of military hard power.

A
  • The US spends $900bn on the military, their biggest expenditure and 3x larger than 2nd, China.
  • China has 2mn military personnel and 800 ships, the highest of both
  • Russia is unique in that its military power comes from their willingness to use overt force, such as in Ukraine or Georgia
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9
Q

What is the ‘carrot’ and ‘stick’ of economic power?

A
  • Carrot: trade agreements
  • Stick: sanctions or tariffs
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10
Q

Give a Chinese, American, and Russian example of economic hard power.

A
  • The US continually puts clauses in their trade agreements protecting human rights and workers’ conditions.
  • China has been able to use its wealth to give loans to developing states to indebt them and increase their sphere of influence
  • Minimal action has been taken against Russia and its invasion due to European dependence on Russian gas
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11
Q

What is soft power?

A

The ways in which a state achieves its aims using the attractiveness of its culture and political system

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12
Q

How is military power still important? Give a counter argument

A

Military power provides states the surest way to achieve their aims - the US was able to weaken their enemies in the Middle East with the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, destroying Al Qaeda and dethroning Saddam Hussein
- States lose relations and other types of power when engaging in military operations only in their own interests - economic sanctions (all it’s £275bn foreign currency reserves were frozen) and expulsion from the G7/8 of Russia when they invaded in Ukraine

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13
Q

How is economic power still important? Give a counter argument

A

In a globalised market, holding economic power can give you control over investment, debt, corporations - China’s belt and Road Initiative has given them power by holding debt relief over nation’s heads and influence in one of the only other nations with nuclear weapons, Pakistan
- The efficacy of things like sanctions have been questioned, 16,500 of them having failing to end the war in Ukraine and the effect of tariffs only coming back to bite nations with trade wars

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14
Q

How is soft power important? Give a counter argument

A

In ‘The End of History, given cooperation is the game, a state’s ability to convince other states without use of force is a great tool - the Pew Research Centre found that the US is seen as technologically advanced, as well as having better than average education
- Soft power doesn’t give you control over an outcome, only the ability to influence it - the EU is hailed as a soft superpower but many states are increasingly ignoring its demands for rule of law, with Liberties reporting that the wave of populism has caused an “overall decline across the EU”

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15
Q

Outline smart power and give an example.

A

A state using both hard- and soft-power to achieve their goals
- Obama demonstrated in his addmittance of Western antagonism in his Cairo speech that he was willing to work with the Middle East. However, his use of drone strikes was fairly military.

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16
Q

Outline sharp power and give an example.

A

The attempt by a state to manipulate the image of itself in foreign nations, to mislead or divide public opinion or to divert attention. Autocracies are especially proficient at this given their tight hold over the media.
- China keeps a tight hold over its internet and media, even stopping people from searching ‘Tianeman Square Massacre’

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17
Q

What is a great power?

A

A great power has many definitions: Waltz defined it based on population, political stability, miltiary, etc. However, one can also argue a great power is defined by their ability to prject power past their borders.

18
Q

What are Kenneth Waltz’s 5 criterion for a great power?

A
  • Population and territory
  • Resources
  • Economic development
  • Political Stability
  • Competence and military strength
19
Q

What is a superpower?

A

A country with great economic, military and cultural power, but that is characterised by its ability to have immediate influence in any part of the world immediately

20
Q

What is an emerging power?

A

A country that has some of the criterion to be a greatpower but lacks in others

21
Q

Give two ways that BRICS acts as a serious rival to the G7.

A
  • BRICS+ represents 55% of the world’s population and 35% of the global GDP, as well as a combined military of 13.5 million
  • BRICS’ New Development Bank has lent $32bn
22
Q

Give two ways that BRICS is not a serious rival to the G7.

A
  • The G7 is ideologically tight, even kicking Russia out when they invaded Ukraine, allowing group cohesion; BRICS is united only by rejection of Western ideals, not any shared ideals themselves - India has been a staunch opponent of the Belt and Road Initiative
  • BRICS nations are still intimidated by the US - Brazil’s president allegedly did not attend a summit due to fear of appearing ‘anti-West’ and South Africa has refused to join a BRICS currency due to Trump’s threats of 100% tarriffs
23
Q

How is the US still a superpower, militarily? Give a counterargument.

A

The US maintains the largest military in the world, with enduring influence globally - $900bn/year, defying the UN and invading Iraq
- Increasing protectionism has seen the US pull out of its globally military involvements, possibly signally a ‘stepping back’ under Trump - Trump’s promise to end the war in Ukraine in 6 months as well as his willingness to cooperate with leaders like Putin and Kim Jong Un

24
Q

How is the US still a superpower, economically? Give a counterargument.

A

The US maintains the largest economy in the world and holding strong structural power in economic institutes like the World Bank - $27tn GDP (2023) and veto in World Bank and IMF
- China has risen as a strong rival to the US, an exporting superpower (No. 1) and predicted to overtake the US (Global Times - 2035), also has structural power in the Asian Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and using the Belt and Road Initiative

25
Q

How is the US still a soft superpower? Give a counterargument.

A

Countries around the world continue to adopt American-style Liberal Democracy; additionally, the power of the US brands maintains over seas - 80 more liberal democracies since 1984, American companies contribute more than 1/4 of the global GDP
- Since the invasion of Iraq, the idolisation of America has been largely dampened, with countries either seeing it as equal to or lesser than other similar states - The Pew Research Centre found that others nations saw the US as more dangerous and less toleranct than other similar states. However, the US still consistently ranks top of soft power index from Brand Finance.

26
Q

How does the US’s military power outweigh China’s? Give a counter argument

A

The US maintains the most expensive military in the world; though China’s is also impressive, what makes the US superior is NATO, with 3.5 million troops and a growing membership (Norway) since the invasion of Ukraine, China’s closest comparison (BRICS) is mostly too scared of the US to back them
- China does outwiegh the US in personnel alone by about 700,000, as well as 2x as many naval assets; what makes China unique is their open willingness to push forth their military power, such as with operations to control the South China Sea

27
Q

How does the US’s economic power outweigh China’s? Give a counter argument

A

The US maintains the largest economy in the world and holding strong structural power in economic institutes like the World Bank - $27tn GDP (2023) and vetoes in the World Bank and IMF
- China has risen as a strong rival to the US, an exporting superpower (No. 1) and predicted to overtake the US (Global Times - 2035), also has structural power in the Asian Investment Bank, the New Development Bank and using the Belt and Road Initiative

28
Q

How does the US’s soft power outweigh China’s? Give a counter argument

A

Countries around the world continue to adopt American-style Liberal Democracy; additionally, the power of the US brands maintains over seas - 80 more liberal democracies since 1984, American companies contribute more than 1/4 of the global GDP
- China puts more work directly into gaining influence, across Asia and all the way to Africa - the BRI gives China significant leverage with indebted states, China has give more FDI to Africa every year since 2011 (peaking recently in 2018 at roughly $5.5bn)

29
Q

Give an argument and counterargument to the superpower status of Russia.

A

Russia has an abundance of natural resources, holding 10-12% of the global oil supply; Russia is unique in its pure willingness to just do shit (largest nuclear arsenal) (the invasion of Ukraine, the annexation of Crimea, the political retribution in Georgia), Russia is feared rightfully, which is why states like Mongolia cooperate
- Russia’s non-hard power is minimal, their invasion of Ukraine has made them a relative global pariah, having 16,500 sanctions and having been expelled from the G8.

30
Q

What is polarity?

A

The way in which power is distributed in the global system.

31
Q

What is bipolarity?

A

The concentration of power with two equally matched competing states, others bandwagoning behind them to gain alliances and security. The two states rarely engage in direct warfare, often fighting in proxy wars.

32
Q

Give 3 argument and counterargument for the stability of a bipolar system

A
  • Bandwagoning V Hegemon domination
  • MAD V nuclear proliferation and shows of power
  • Balance of power and lack of direct conflict V Proxy wars
33
Q

How does bandwagoning provide stability? give a counterargument.

A

From a realist perspective, bipolarity provides states with greater solidarity due to the common enemy, as well as clean-cut knowledge about who your enemies and allies are - there has never been a war between NATO nations
- Bandwagoning states are constantly dominated by the hegemon and ideals are heavily policed by conditional ‘allies’ - the Hungarian revolution was violently ended by the USSR, whereas Czech social reforms led to their invasion by 4 other Warsaw nations

34
Q

How does MAD lead to stability? Give a counterargument

A

Neither state commits fully to conflict with the other as they are aware the equal nuclear capabilities would destroy them both - the end of the Cuban Missile crisis
- The result of this is the constant attempt to gain greater capabilities over the other (the arms race) and the display of that power (the bombing of Japan); additionally, MAD didn’t save us, as JFK put it, “We lucked out”

35
Q

How does the balance of power of bipolarity lead to stability? Give a counterargument

A

Some political commentators have argued that the Cold War encouraged cooperation between poles as bot sided understood the best way to achieve their aims was to work with the other - SALT ensuring the Warsaw Pact was safe from invasion
- States do challenge one another via harmful proxy wars - up to 6 million Vietnamese and Korean dead with little to no progress for Korea; the Cold War was characterised by 14 seperate proxy wars, covering the entire period for 45 years

36
Q

What is unipolarity?

A

The concentration of power with a single state, often acting as a ‘global policeman’ to keep other states in line

37
Q

Give 3 argument and counterargument for the stability of a unipolar system

A
  • Hegemon can act as a policeman to enforce stability V enforcement is often violent
  • Lack of opportunity V unsustaibale
  • Reduced rivalry V Resentment
38
Q

How does the unipolarity’s ‘global policeman’ ensure stability? Give a counterargument.

A

The hegemon can use their awesome power to resolve conflicts peacefully and suppress alternative ideas that threaten stability- US attacks on Iraq and Afghanistan have been argued to weaken terrorist networks in the Middle East
- This suppresion is anything but peaceful and arent always successful - The Watson Institute estimates that more than 432,000 people have died in Iraq and Afghanistan since 2001, with the destruction of Hussein’s regime only leading to greater chaos from the power vaccum. In the end, the Taliban retook Afghanistan in 2021.

39
Q

How does unipolar lack of opportunity provide stability? Give a counterargument.

A

Other states lack the power to challenge the hegemon’s superiority so make no attempt to, avoiding conflict - the Cold War was characterised by 14 seperate proxy wars, covering the entire period for 45 years
- Unipolar power is unsustainable as inevitable some states gain enough power to challenge them - Modelski’s ‘long cycles theory’ argues that we exist in a cycle of global hegemony that starts and ends with global war, power moving to England after the wars of Louis XIV (>2mn dead) and to America after WWII (>50mn dead)

40
Q

How does the unipolar reduced rivalry create stability? Give a counterargument.

A

A lack of rivalry decreases the tensions between states, this can increase trade and complex interdependence - US-Russian trade was $20bn in 2022; between 1989 and 2001, US military spending went down about $150bn
- States inevitably resent their inferiority, inspiring them to defy - BRICS is founded on anti-US domination; the growth of terrorist organisations like the Nigerian ‘Boko Haram’ which translates to ‘Western Education is forbidden’

41
Q

What is multipolarity?

A