Population Genetics Flashcards
Define probability:
The method for determining the likelihood of something uncertain happening.
What is the equation for P(event)?
P(event) = (number of times an event occurs) / (total number of observations)
There is a 500 head cow herd.
400 are black
50 are red
50 are white
What are the probabilities for each color to occur?
400/500 = 0.8 black
50/500 = 0.1 red
50/500 = 0.1 white
Probability ranges from ___ to ___.
0 ; 1
What are the two types of probability?
Theoretical and Experimental
What is Theoretical Probability based on?
The knowledge from previous experiences or events
What is Experimental Probability based on?
How frequently something (actually) happens in an experiment.
___________ confidence level = smaller confidence range =
\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ likely to be correct!
Higher ; more
Define Confidence Range:
How much we trust the probability to be correct
Is a high probability but low confidence range good or bad?
Not good. Without a high confidence range, the probability is not as dependable.
What are the three types of (probability) events?
Independent
Mutually Exclusive
Joint
What is an Independent Event?
The probability that one event occurs that not influenced by the occurrence of a second event.
What is a Mutually Exclusive Event?
The occurrence of one event precludes the occurrence of another event.
Uses OR
Ex.: male OR female
What is a Joint Probability Event?
The occurrence of one or more events happening together or in sequence.
Uses AND
Ex.: A cow having twins. One is red AND one is black
What is z?
A value that corresponds to a desired confidence level
A ____________ event will be calculated with the SUM of probabilities
Mutually Exclusive
A ____________ event will be calculated with the PRODUCT of probabilities
Joint probability