Multiple Regression Flashcards
Partial correlation
Correlation between two variables while controlling for a third (a “first-order partial correlation”)
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Semi-partial correlation
Relationship between two variables while accounting for the relationship between a third variable and one of those variables
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Multiple regression rationale
- Cross-sectional design - when we have measured more than 2 variables
- Increase predicted variance in outcome
- We can determine:
- how well the model explains the outcome
- how much variance in the outcome our model explains
- the importance of each individual predictor
Types of multiple regression
- Forced entry (enter) - all in at once
- Hierarchical - researcher decides order variables are entered in blocks
- Stepwise - SPSS decides the order they are entered
Variance in multiple regression
- R us not particularly useful in multiple regression because we have several variables in the model
- R2 : variance in the model accounted by all predictors
- Adjusted R2: adjusted for number of predictors in model
- An indicator of how well our model generalises. The closer R2 is to adjusted R2 the more accurate our model is likely to be for other samples
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Multiple regression output in SPSS
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Regression coefficients in SPSS
Use unstandardised beta coefficients for multiple regression equation
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Assumptions for multiple regression
Pre-design:
- Outcome variable should be continuous
- Predictor variables should be continuous or dichotomous
- Should have reasonable theoretical ground for including variables
Post-data collection:
- Linearity
- Homoscedasticity/no heteroscedacity
- Normal distribution of residuals
- No multicollinearity
- Influential cases
Linearity
Relationship between each predictor and the outcome should be linear
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Homoscedasticity/ No heteroscedasticity
- Variance of error term (residuals) should be constant for all values of the predicted values (model)
- Look to see that data points are reasonably spread for all predicted values
- Look at a plot of standardised residuals by standardised predicted values
- Heteroscedasticity: when the variance in the error term is not constant for all predicted values - a funnel/cone shape may indicate heteroscedasticity
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Normal distribution of residuals
In regression it is important that the outcome residuals are normally distributed
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No multicollinearity
- Multicollinearity problems can occur when predictors correlate very strongly: predictors should not correlate too highly (e.g. r>.8 or .9)
- Problem:
- A good predictor might be rejected because a second predictor won’t explain much more unique variance in the outcome than the first predictor
- Leads to error in estimation of regression coefficients (the beta values)
- Possible solutions:
- If it makes sense could try to combine predictors into one single variable
- Might be necessary to remove one of the variables
- In SPSS: look at tolerance or VIF statistic (tolerance = 1/VIF)
- VIF: worry if greater than 10
- tolerance: less than 0.1 is cause for concern (0.2 may also be of concern)
- High R2 with non-significant beta coefficients might also be another indication
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Influential cases
- Individual cases (outliers) that overly influence the model
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Cook’s distance: checks for influential outlier cases in a set of predictors
- Measures the influence of each case on the model
- Values greater than 1 may be a cause of concern
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