Experimental Designs & Hypothesis Testing Flashcards
Main research methods
- Experimental research
- Correlational and descriptive research
Experimental research
- Manipulating a variable (IV) and measuring the outcome (DV)
- e.g. showing people violent pictures and measuring heart rate
- Advantages:
- Control over variables
- Can identify cause and effect relationships
- Disadvantages
- Sometimes unethical or impossible to manipulate a predictor e.g. illness
- Lack of ecological and external validity
Validity
- Is the study/measure accurately measuring what we think it is?
- Ecological validity
- External validity
Ecological validity
Does the experimental situation represent well enough the ‘real world’ situation we are interested in?
External validity
Do the findings from your sample generalise to other samples, the population, other times, other situations?
Non-experimental research: correlational and descriptive studies
- Cross-sectional designs
- Observing and measuring what happens in the world
- e.g. observing mother-child interactions or looking if personaliity factors are associated with certain behaviours
- Advantages:
- Ecological validity, less interference with real world events
- Can be used in situations where experiments would be unethical
- Disadvantages:
- Less control over variables - unmeasured variables may also be influencing data
- Can’t infer causality
Hypothesis testing
- A good hypothesis is both testable and falsifiable
- Step 1: formulate null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis
- Step 2: test to see if we can reject the null hypothesis
- If we can then we can accept the alternative/experimental hypothesis
- If the null hypothesis were true, what is the probability that data as extreme as our observed data would have occurred?
- The lower this probability is, the less likely that our findings are chance findings
- We reject the null hypothesis if the probability of us getting data as extreme as we have by chance is less than 5% p<.05
- Therefore it is said to reflect a real or statistically significant result
Inductive reasoning
Generalise from specific observations (bottom up)
observation → pattern → hypothesis → theory
Deductive reasoning
Making predictions about specific cases based on known facts. From general to specific (top down)
theory → hypothesis → observation → support for theory
Hume
- Probelm of induction
- Inductive reasoning generalises from specific observations but confirmatory observations are not evidence
- e.g. Will the sun rise tomorrow? Inductive reasoning would be the sun came up on Saturday, Sunday etc so therefore it will come up tomorrow
- Solution: deductive reasoning
- State a theory that the sun will rise everyday and if the sun does not rise, the theory would be falsified and needs to be replaced by another one
- Until the theory is falsified, there is no need to reject it
Karl Popper
- Falsifiability
- “One can sum up all this by saying that the criterion of the scientific status of a theory is its falsifiability, or refutability or testability”
Two-tailed test
Tests a non-directional hypothesis
e.g. driving ability (DV) is affected by the amount of alcohol consumed (IV)
One-tailed test
Tests directional hypothesis
e.g. Increased alcohol consumption (IV) decreases driving ability (DV)
Type I error
- Incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis (false positive) i.e. believe our experimental manipulation has been successful but in fact it hasn’t
- E.g. find a difference between group scores on a variable when there isn’t really one
- Probability of Type I error is alpha .05 → 5% chance of this occurring
Type II error
- Incorrectly accepting the null hypothesis (false negative)
- I.e. we believe that our manipulation has had no effect on the dependent variable but in fact it has
- E.g. don’t find a difference between group scores on a variable when there actually is one
- Can be due to our method eg. because we have too few participants to reliably detect the effect
- Could be that our test is not powerful enough to detect the effect