Module 3A Flashcards
Support (Technical Notion)
Term: Support
Definition:
- Support is a technical notion in argument evaluation referring to the
DEGREE PROBABILITY THAT THE TRUTH OF THE CONCLUSION FOLLOWS THE TRUTH OF THE PREMISES.
It is a RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PREMISES AND CONCLUSIONS, BASED ON HOW LIKELY THE CONCLUSIONS ARE IF THE PREMISES WERE TRUE.
Characteristics of Support: 4
- SUPPORT is EXPLAINED in TERMS OF TRUTH BUT DIFFERS FROM THE TRUTH OF THE PREMISES.
- PREMISES CAN OFFER COMPLETE SUPPORT TO CONCLUSIONS EVEN IF THE PREMISES ARE FALSE IN THIS TECHNICAL SENSE.
- SUPPORT = is a MATTER OF DEGREE , representing the PROBABILITY OF A GIVEN CONCLUSION, GIVEN THE TRUTH OF THE PREMISES.
It’s CRUCIAL TO UNDERSTAND THAT ‘FLASE PREMISE’ CAN PROVIDE ‘STRONG OR COMPLETE SUPPORT’ TO A CONCLUSION IN THIS TECHNICAL USAGE.
How do you judge the degree of support given by premises to a conclusion?
By abandoning independent knowledge of the truth or falsehood and asking,
‘Supposing the premises are true, how probable does this make the conclusion true?’
The degree of improbability of true premises and a false conclusion is the degree of support.
What is the relationship between the probability of premises supporting a conclusion and the improbability of the conclusion being false?
The probability that premises give to a conclusion’s truth is the same as the improbability they give to its falsity.
The degree of support is estimated by considering the improbability of the conclusion being false if the premises are true.
How can you classify the degree of support?
Complete (100%), strong, moderate, weak, nil (0%).
The more unlikely the conclusion is false if the premises are true, the stronger the support.
Provide an example of an argument with weak support for its conclusion.
How does the number of tosses in a coin example affect the degree of support?
“Three successive random tosses of this coin have all come down heads; so something is biasing the outcome.”
It gives very weak support.
MORE TOSSES GIVE STRONGER SUPPORT.
For instance, “Thirty successive random tosses of this coin have all come down heads; so something is biasing the outcome” provides very strong support.
What questions can be useful in estimating the likelihood of possibilities?
Questions like
- ‘Would a fundamental scientific law have to be false for the premises to be true and the conclusion false?’
help assess support. REALISTIC POSSIBILITIES WEAKEN SUPPORT.
Provide a rule of thumb for assessing support.
THE MORE REALISTIC THE POSSIBILITY OF A SITUATION WHERE THE PREMISES ARE TRUE AND THE CONCLUSION FALSE
= THE WEAKER THER SUPPORT.
Define deductive validity.
Deductive validity, or simply validity, is COMPLETE SUPPORT
where the TRUTH OF THE PREMISES GUARANTEES THE TRUTH OF THE CONCLUSION.
Can an argument be deductively valid with false statements?
Yes, an argument can be deductively validEVEN IF EVERY STATEMENT IN IT IS FALSE.
Deductive validity ONLY REQUIRES THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF COMBINING TRUE PREMISES AND A FALSE CONCLUSION.
What kind of impossibility is required for deductive validity?
LOGICAL impossibility is required for deductive validity.
This involves a CONTRADICTION , where attempting to describe a state of affairs results in ASSERTING AND DENYING THE SAME THING.
Provide an example of a deductively valid argument with false statements.
Napoleon Bonaparte died in 1902; hence he was alive in the twentieth century.”
This is deductively valid despite the false statement, as the definition requires the impossibility of true premises and a false conclusion.
What is a contradiction in logical terms?
A contradiction is when you both assert and deny the same thing.
It may be EXPLICIT (e.g., ‘Hitler smoked and Hitler did not smoke’) or IMPLICIT, reducible to an explicit contradiction through definition.
How do you test for deductive validity?
- Extract the premises and conclusion from the argument, create a conjunction of all premises with the negation of the conclusion, and check for the presence of a contradiction.
- If a contradiction exists, the argument is not deductively valid.
Why are violations of scientific laws and well-known truths not necessarily logically impossible?
Violations of scientific laws and well-known truths may be impossible in some sense but not logically impossible because they do not involve contradictions in their descriptions.
Why do violations of scientific laws and well-known truths not necessarily involve contradictions?
Violations of scientific laws and well-known truths may be impossible in some sense other than logically impossible, and their descriptions do not necessarily involve contradictions.
Why is the guarantee provided by the premises in the given argument not absolute?
The guarantee provided by the premises in the argument about Ian’s actions is not absolute because violations of scientific laws and truths, while very strong, do not ensure an absolute guarantee due to the possibility of scenarios without logical contradictions.
Provide an example of a deductively invalid argument.
“Ian just this very moment took a normally fatal dose of cyanide and immediately jumped off the top of the Eiffel Tower, cutting his arteries as he leapt and pulling the pin from the grenade in his pocket as he fell, so he’ll shortly be dead.”
The argument is deductively invalid, despite being very strong, as there is a logical possibility of Ian surviving.