Measuring disease Flashcards
Disease quantification
Important to describe the ‘amount’ of disease
- # of animals affected by disease aka morbidity
- mortality: # of deaths caused by disease
When and Where
- when: temporal distribution
- where: geographic (spatial) distribution
- helps us estimate the ‘population at risk’
Closed vs Open populations
Closed population
- no additions to population being assessed, during study period
- few to no losses (some loss to follow up)
- bias small is loss is relative to population size
- disease free animals at the start of the study are “at risk”
preferred in epidemiological research
open population
- animals enter and leave population throughout study period
- stable if additions/withdrawals are stable over time
- can’t calculate disease risk from open
prevalence
number of instances of disease in a known population at a specific point in time
- more meaningful to express as # of diseased in relation to # at risk
P = # w/ disease / # in pop
- point prevalence: amount of disease at particular point in time (more common)
- period prevalence: number of cases that occurred during specific time period (uncommon)
cumulative incidence
proportion of non-diseased animals at the beginning of the study period that become diseased during the study period
CI = # animals w/ disease / # healthy animals in pop at beginning of study period
- only calculated for 1st incidence of disease per animal
- additional animals added to population can’t be added to initial pop
- open: calculate for short periods of time w/ no coming/going of the healthy population
incidence
number of new cases in a known population over a specified period of time
I = # of animals diseased during particular period / # healthy animals in pop at beginning of period
Incidence rate (I) - closed population
measures how quickly new cases of disease develop over time
I = # new cases / sum of all animal’s time at risk of developing disease
- diseased animals no longer contribute to denominator
approximate Incidence rate - open population
new cases / (start - 1/2sick - 1/2wth - 1/2add) x time
start = # at risk at start of period
sick = # developing disease
wth = # withdrawn fr. population
add = # added to population
time = length of study period
Difference b/twn prevalence & incidence of disease
prevalence: doesn’t have time componet
- “a snapshot”
- measures EXISTING (new & old) cases of disease
incidence: have time component
- measures NEW cases of disease
When to calculate prevalence and incidence
prevalence
- disease w/ long durations
- identifying common disease problems in a population
- evaluating disease control strategies
incidence
- diseases w/ short durations
- understanding disease development & transmission (temporality)
- predicting risk of disease (change in health status)
Study Designs
descriptive (describes)
- summarize and describe data
- no comparisons made
- hypothesis generating
case report
- rare or new conditions/disease
- 1 or 2 animals
case series
- collection of animals w/ same rare condition/disease
- 4 or more animals