Lesson 16 - RCP + Tipping Points Flashcards
What is RCP?
Representative Concentration Pathway
Subsequent changes due to certain atmospheric GG concentration
Describe an RCP 2.5 future
High effort to reduce emissions
Renewables + capture technology
1 degree rise
0.4m sea level rise
Small increase in extreme weather
Describe an RCP 4.5 future
Medium effort to reduce emissions
Energy production + consumption mix
1.8 degree rise
0.47m sea level rise
Mild increase in extreme weather
Describe an RCP 6.0 future
Medium effort to reduce emissions
Energy production + consumption mix
2.2 degree rise
0.48m sea level rise
Moderate increase in extreme weather
Describe an RCP 8.5 future
Low effort to reduce emissions
Coal fired power + fossil fuels
3.7 degree rise
0.63m sea level rise
Large increase in extreme weather
What is a Tipping Point?
Abrupt irreversible large scale change
Over few decades or less
Which tipping points will affect the hydrological cycle?
Long term drought
Intensification of monsoon climate
Loss of Arctic Sea ice
Which tipping points will affect ecosystems?
Dieback of tropical forests
Dieback of boreal forests
Name the 7 recognised tipping points
Thermohaline collapse
Seabed methane release
Tropical forest loss
Boreal forest loss
Loss of Arctic sea ice
Long term droughts
Intense monsoon