Lecture 5 Rational Choice Flashcards
Strategic
Maximize “payoff”
anticpate actions of others
outcomes of actors decisons called ‘strategic interaction’
Prisoner’s Dillemma
2 x 2 bar, payoffs of years, strategic choices
costs of war
lives, money, art and economic growth
us- mexican war - offer 25million, declines, goes to war and spends 100 million and 13,000 lives
State A on bargaining model
(p-a)
State B on bargaining model
(100 - p - b )
bargaining model
line 0-100 denotes division of goods
p
expected outcome of the violence
bargaining range
anything less prefer war, anything more prefer peace
minimum points to accept
(p-a) and (100 - p - b)
if bargaining range exists, why war?
incomplete information
incentives to misrepresent
incomplete information
International politics is fraught with uncertainty. Two that are particularly important are uncertainty about capabilities and resolve.
incentives to misrepresent
Not only is there uncertainty, but states have an incentive to bluff, or to make it seem that they are stronger or more resolved than they actually are. Hence credibility becomes a problem.
