L4M4- Chapter 2- Processes for supplier analysis Flashcards
How can a procurement professional understand and breakdown their spend budget?
Pareto principle of 80:20
Split into ABC analysis
Divides suppliers up by their spend/importance
What is the CIPS relationship spectrum and what is it used for?
A model for positioning relationships. It goes from adversarial and transactional to collaborative and co-destiny
The axis are commitment to the relationship from the buyer and commitment to the relationship from the supplier
Would include trust, transparency, info sharing, risk management, communication
What is an index?
An index or indices are recognised factors that are designed to represent the broader macro trends of a collection of products or industry. E.g. the US stock market uses NASDAQ which is the stock market
Often used by procurement to measure economic data for a point of comparison
What would be the impact if an indices is showing prices rising?
If the prices are rising it probably means that demand is greater than supply. So if a buyer were to engage with a supplier to buy a new product when the price is high then it is likely that it is an inflated price or that stock wont be available (because demand is high).
It could also be an indicator of when not to change suppliers, if the price is high and demand is high, then you may want to work with your existing supplier
What are the 5 main trading categories of commodity pricing? MALEE
Agriculture
Energy
Metals
Livestock
Environmental credits
What can affect commodity pricing?
Supply and Demand
Currency fluctuations
Political situation
Conflict
Force Majeure- e.g. earthquakes affecting supply
Severe weather/seasonality
Competitor pricing (monopolies drive price up, competition drives prices down)
Price of substitutes
Speculation
What is a hedge?
Taking a position on current stock or future stock to offset potential losses should the price rise. A hedge will have a cost of trading and may use a financial contract.
AKA
An investment made with the intention of reducing risk of adverse price movements in an asset
What is speculation?
This is where you actively pursue risks to make gains when the commodity price moves
What data sources can be used to forecast prices of commodities?
Previous/historic data
Supply and demand
Global events
The state of the economy
What is a futures exchange?
An agreement where the seller of a commodity agrees to sell or buy a certain amount of a commodity for a certain price on a specific date in the future
By locking in prices for future dates, they can protect themselves against market prices that would impact their bottom line.
Buyers can look at future data to forecast the likely price in the future, and give likelihood if the price is going to increase/decrease and therefore get value for money
What are some examples of places you could conduct a futures exchange?
LME- London Metals Exchange
NASDAQ
CME- Chicago Mercantile Exchange
ICE- Intercontinental exchange
What is the difference between primary and secondary data?
Primary data is data that comes directly from the source e.g. direct comms, networking, commissioned market research.
Secondary data is data that has been previously collected and used for a new requirement, it is generally published research e.g. indices, internet, magazines, surveys, professional bodies
How can primary and secondary research be distored?
Primary = researcher bias
Secondary= More channels of comms means more opportunity for it to be mistranslated
Secondary can be used to validate primary research
Financial statements can be used by procurement to understand stability of a potential organisation, but what are the limitations of using them?
Figures are historic, so cannot give an accurate conclusion for the future
Economy can change over the duration of a contract making financial ratios incorrect
Supplier may have made operational or other changes (e.g. new products, new org structure etc)
You can assess current performance in a simple way mid contract by looking at the quality, customer churn, staff churn, rumours, payment requests and any change of bank
What is a credit rating and who provides data for it?
Assessment of the financial stability of an organisation. it gives a score that reflects the level of risk an organisation poses when dealing with other businesses. If the score is low then it suggests a high level of risk
Banks
Lenders
Creditors
Public info
Financial reports
Court judgements for debt
Which data points are used to give the weighted credit score?
Weighted is just a way of measuring the credit score with emphasis on important areas.
Payment history (most important)
Amounts owed
Length of credit history - what is the average repayment time taken for debts
New credit
Credit mix (least important)