Krown first upload

Question 1

What heppens at the weekend/after with BTC (2) (Krown)

Answer 1

Roaming around and after the weekend gets back where it started (he saiys so f. common for a weekend;

(Krown)

https://youtu.be/dwfzaTIV_iI?t=178

Question 2

What heppens at the weekend/after with BTC (2) (Krown)

Answer 2

Roaming around and after the weekend gets back where it started (he saiys so f. common for a weekend; (Krown) https://youtu.be/dwfzaTIV_iI?t=178

Question 3

Damn good downward momentum indicator in 2018 Krown

Answer 3

SOCH crosses on 2D (critical zone above 80 + crossing down): 2017 ATH (20k), 2018 Feb double top; 2018 May double top (10k), 2018 Aug, interestingly we are also in the critical zone and crossing down in 2019 Apr 12; https://youtu.be/dwfzaTIV_iI?t=508 https://www.dropbox.com/s/iahdrhv2bd6ep8b/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2013.17.16.png?dl=0

Question 4

CME closing/opening

Answer 4

Friday 2245 pm/Sunday 00 am; nekem igy latszott a TV-n, de az se bizti hogy az enyim a real time-ot mutatja;

Question 5

How to identifiy the market tops? when the time to take position(krown)

Answer 5

NVT signal D TOP (red) zone, it can stay for long > it plays out when it breaks the (orange) average line (Kirby szerint wen breaks its up-trendline) NVT might have divergence on the top. Interestingly he looked at W NVT as well (not only for D?) STOCHs crossed down and reached the critical zone (80) downwards (also on Daily) >> 3 signal when in confluence ; https://www.dropbox.com/s/k5cqwe2y7r3oi9f/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2022.01.01.png?dl=0

Question 6

Not appropriate to be bearish looking for moving toward prior lows.. Krown 2018 Apr

Answer 6

untill break down bellow the 200 EMA W; https://youtu.be/dwfzaTIV_iI?t=599

Question 7

MAs in 2019 Apr after move up Krown 2018 Apr

Answer 7

Higher TFs still problematic: 55/89 EMA cross down on W and price rejection by the 55EMA; on M: 10 SMA/21EMA cross down; 21EMA on M: if the stock is generally bearish/bullish; if close above 21EMA on M > upside momentum; https://www.dropbox.com/s/t3f3abocien0gw5/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2021.21.26.png?dl=0 ; https://www.dropbox.com/s/hxxy30sj9uz9fuq/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2021.22.04.png?dl=0

Question 8

MA if the stock is generally bearish/bullish and BTC relates to that in history (Krown)

Answer 8

21EMA on M: if the stock is generally bearish/bullish; when BTC lost in 2014 > capitulation >> rejected 3 times > final breakthrough marked the bullmarket; https://www.dropbox.com/s/d6nq6vtvri3d7yn/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2021.44.00.png?dl=0

Question 9

Is the low in fr BTC Krown 2019 Apr

Answer 9

We are approaching a local top (NVT cross the average, STOCHs cross down and reaching the 80 critical zone on D) >> but it does not implicate that new lows will come; we can not expect new lows untill above 200 SMA on W; we can not trade for new lows but it could be possible; it looks far away now if it will happen; 200 EMA W was a RES: 2018 Dec - 2019 Apr > broke out >> it will SUP now for a while; https://www.dropbox.com/s/7v265hex505rq1m/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2022.15.31.png?dl=0

Question 10

Importnat SUP for BTC in 2019 Apr Krown

Answer 10

200 EMA W was a RES: 2018 Dec - 2019 Apr > broke out >> it will SUP now for a while; 200EMA W: purple, 200SMA W: white, ; https://www.dropbox.com/s/7v265hex505rq1m/Screenshot%202019-04-13%2022.15.31.png?dl=0

Question 11

12H (720M) TF by Krown

Answer 11

Has a good weight; 50/200 EMA golden cross in 2019 Apr (last time in 2016 Sept > $600 to 20k) >> he does not trade against it; 21 EMA holds as SUP > not against it; usually Golden Cross is considered on D or above (but 12H has a very good weight on BTC);

Question 12

2019 Apr 15: we are at a major point, almost everyone started to get bullish/ Krown opinion

Answer 12

We have major-major RESs: 377EMA on D; 200EMA 2D; 200EMA 3D (rejected); 50 and 89 EMA W rejection and cross down; they are not diverging, rather paralell(it is on W > takes time to play out) if we lose it as SUP > take down to the next big EMA SUP line (21EMA here) and the next target is the next line 200EMA > buy a pull back here; on M: 10SMA/21EMA cross down and RES (21EMA on M general bear/bull judge; rejeted here now, but it is expect at first attempt; if we close higher on M >> we can target 6k zone, if we close below > mid 4k; on M nothing changed still LLs, LHs; when in 2014 lost the 21EMA M > capitulation (took four months!), we tested the 21EMA 3 times after > only the 4th time broke through up > bull market; https://youtu.be/FXpv-NzhsAo?t=352 https://www.dropbox.com/s/jrv5410idan10ln/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2021.24.48.png?dl=0

Question 13

Bottom signal on the market for BTC (Krown)

Answer 13

same as for top,just more precize: NVT signal: very short for bottom, green; https://www.dropbox.com/s/c852yzyygdsyojx/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2023.19.47.png?dl=0

Question 14

Top signal on the market for BTC (Krown)

Answer 14

Perfectly gets the tops, timing more complex, not immediate, need a couple of factor’s confluence: NVT signal crosses down its own MA, DAILY (2D as wll) STOCHs crossing down and being bellow 80, the critical zone, RSI crossing down it’s own MA (in 2018 Aug H&S on RSI), interestingly no bearish divergence on D in 2018 Aug an Sept, but on 12H there is DIVergence (on 12H always he says) >> these signals are pretty close to the breakdown, the Jewel indicator (if you have) on D gives TOP signal (see fig.) on 2019 Apr 15: everything confluence, except for NVT cross down, but it touched/kissed >> still not nreak down; https://youtu.be/FXpv-NzhsAo?list=PLya0RSwza9DQx3psP36G-7LxekpJvAjBl&t=849 https://www.dropbox.com/s/10jvkmqojtg5q31/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2023.22.50.png?dl=0 https://www.dropbox.com/s/uh3ewbu9i5v2i83/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2023.29.55.png?dl=0

Question 15

Krown about 50/200 SMAs golden cross

Answer 15

He does not believe in SMA crosses!! He only cares about the EMA crosses. Priceaction should be pulled into the EMA cross (see fig.) > spit out… 10 SMA/21 EMA on M BTC 2019 Apr 15 example, we just had the cross, the price came up to it to retest > next move important: how bots/algos will react, sell or buy > if close above on M > price-action above 6k (similarly in 2019 March we closed above 50 EMA on M > upmove happened!! Priceaction should pull back to the cross ($4550 < confluence with other things asszem). The main he does not believe in SMA crosses, that the first FALSE signals after a larger countertrend move. (false signal 50/200 GoldenCross historical example 2015 July: price was not pulled into it (like now) >> failed; tipically fails on the first one > do not use SMA crosses, only EMAs; Marketmakers use it to generate liquidity (many people “discover” the cross and inexperinced > fall into the trap; if priceaction comes back and pulled into the 200 SMA BEFORE the cross >> legitimate cross >> LONG; the other case if priceaction remain above > cross happens > price falls/tests/fall bellow; https://youtu.be/FXpv-NzhsAo?list=PLya0RSwza9DQx3psP36G-7LxekpJvAjBl&t=1285 https://www.dropbox.com/s/ds1rczx1j690l3c/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2023.42.51.png?dl=0 https://www.dropbox.com/s/o3omhk9ue5n2e7j/Screenshot%202019-04-15%2023.56.47.png?dl=0

Question 16

Krown CME example about bearish signs in 2019 Apr 16(MAs)

Answer 16

CME: weekend-less exchange > easier to read (decent volume too): Ascending triangle like formation; the upper line 200 EMA on D > rejected > lost the bottom trendline of the triangle > lost the 10 SMA on the way (now RES above); https://youtu.be/I0k8Kovl498?t=1669 https://www.dropbox.com/s/lo3xjgn76xkj0p9/Screenshot%202019-04-16%2023.35.36.png?dl=0

Question 17

Krown CME example about bearish signs in 2019 Apr 16(STOCHs)

Answer 17

CME: weekend-less exchange > easier to red (decent volume too): Ascending triangle like formation in the priceaction) but in the STOCHs too; upper trend-line is way above the critical zone > STOCHs rejected, started to curb down, lower line: rising SUP line, when it will be broken > signal; have been playing out for a long time; RSI broke it’s own MA;