IR 002: Lecture 25 Flashcards

1
Q

Who created Russia’s continental empire?

A

Peter the Great

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2
Q

What was the Soviet Unions reason for the Cold War?

A
  • Soviet Ideology: repression and social justice
  • Soviet Empire: Expansionism
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3
Q

What was the Russias relationship with the US and Europe like in the 1990s?

A
  • Relative democratic opening
  • US-inspired shock therapy (free-market reforms, privatizations, etc.)
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4
Q

Why did the US-Russia relationship begin to breakdown?

A
  • NATOs expansion into Central/Eastern Europe
  • Iraq War (sign of US militarism)
  • US/EU push for democratization in Russia’s neighborhoods
  • Ukraine Crisis (the turning point)
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5
Q

What was the 2014 Ukraine Crisis?

A
  • Massive demonstrations backed by the US and EU against Ukraine’s president
  • Russia took Crimea and destabilized eastern Ukraine
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6
Q

How did the US respond to the Ukraine Crisis in 2014?

A
  • Huge Economic sanctions
  • Additional US troops/ assistance to NATO
  • Growing NATO cooperation with Ukraine
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7
Q

What was Russia’s response to the US response to the Ukraine crisis in 2014?

A
  • Growing assertiveness vis-a-vis the West
  • Nuclear modernization program
  • Economic reorientation toward Asia
  • Economic reorientation toward Asia
  • Growing ties with rivals enemies of America
  • Beginning of the Ukraine war in 2022
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8
Q

Why is Putins Russia so assertive?

A
  • Deep isolation during the COVID-19 pandemic?
  • Mental Issues?
  • Religious turn?
  • Disease?
  • Domestic Political Factors (divert attention from Putin’s failures and fear of US-led democratization agenda)
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9
Q

What was Putins life experience like?

A
  • Could not stand being wronged or betrayed
  • Dog-eat-dog struggle as a KGB agent (one must always be on guard)
  • Traumatized by the collapse of the Soviet Union
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10
Q

What is Russias National identity?

A
  • Quest for prestige and power
  • Frustrated by the West’s economic/political superiority
  • Post Cold War humiliations inflicted by the West
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11
Q

How did Russias power decline after the Cold War?

A
  • Lost 1/6 of its territory
  • Population declined from 293M to 146M
  • GDP fell by 43%
  • Military decreased in size
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12
Q

What was the results of the US decision to expand NATO after the Cold War?

A
  • It inflamed Russias nationalism
  • It inflamed Russias anti-Westernism
  • It inflamed Russias militarism
  • It hurt the prospect of democratization in Russia
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13
Q

What was the initial goal of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?

A

Remove president Zelenskyy

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14
Q

How has the Ukraine war effected Ukraines civilians?

A
  • 9600 dead (and rising)
  • 17500 injured
  • 6.2M refugees abroad (+5-7M internally displaced)
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15
Q

What is the current challenge for the US and Nato with the Ukraine war?

A
  • Denounce Russia’s violations of international order and provide economic support to Ukraine
  • Don’t cause a NATO/Russia war or tempt Russia to use nukes
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16
Q

What military setbacks has Russia experienced?

A
  • Failure to conquer Ukraine
  • Ukraine has retaken 50% of the territory Russia has taken
  • Russia has lost more troops than Ukraine
  • Underestimated Ukrainian forces
  • Brutal tactics stimulated Ukraines nationalism
  • Flawed leadership in Moscow (people scared to tell Putin Russias chances of success)
17
Q

What deeper strategic setbacks has Russia experienced?

A
  • Ukraine has become more Wester oriented
  • Europe has become more hostile
  • NATO has expanded in Russia’s vicinity
  • Western sanctions have hurt Russias power potential
  • Russia has become more dependent on China
18
Q

What are the possible futures of the Ukraine war?

A
  • Ukraine victories lead to Putins fall
  • Russia defeats Ukraine
  • Agreement that saves Russias face and leaves Ukraine divided
  • Nuclear escalation between US/NATO/Russia
  • The war continues for a long time
19
Q

What are Ukraines long-term prospects?

A
  • Risk that Russia will retain control over some parts of Ukraine
  • 33% decline in the GDP
  • Cost of reconstruction ~$0.4-$1 trillion