inferential statistics Flashcards
what are inferential statistics?
the use of mathematics probability to tell us whether we can accept or reject the null hypothesis
when we accept the null hypothesis…
are results are not statistically significant, the results could simply be due to chance alone (fluke result)
when we reject the null hypothesis…
our results are statistically significant and unlikely to be due to chance alone (not a fluke, due to something we have done e.g manipulating the IV)
how is a statistically significant results expressed?
in terms of probability (p)
p < 0.05
means …
the probability of the results of an experiment being due to chance alone is less than 5%
if p < 0.05, we can
reject the null hypothesis, as probability of it being down to chance is less than 5%
p > 0.05
means…
probability of the results of an experiment being due to chance alone is more than 5%
if p > 0.05, we can
accept the null hypothesis, as probability of it being down to chance is more than 5%
if it is significant we write
p < 0.05
if it is not significant, we write
p> 0.05
what is a type 1 error?
a false positive
what happens on a type 1 (false positive) error?
we would reject the null hypothesis and wrongly accept the alternative hypothesis when we should not have done so
when do you run the risk of a type 1 error?
if we were less strict and accepted the significance at the p < 0.1 level (90/10)
what is a type 2 error?
a false negative
what happens at a type 2 (false negative) error?
we would wrongly accept the null hypothesis, and reject the alternative hypothesis when we should not have done so