Human Decision Making and Managing Digital Transformation Flashcards
Flyvbjerg, Bent: Top Ten Behavioral Biases in Project Management: An Overview.
What traits describe system 1?
Fast, automatic, uncontrolled, unconscious, intuitive.
“Instant relevance to ME In MY situation In relation to what I am doing As I feel RIGHT NOW”
What traits describe system 2?
Slow, deductive, conacouous, controlled. and energy consuming!
“I need to think about it…”
What do humans want when it comes to information given to them?
“The RIGHT communication in the RIGHT amount at the RIGHT time”
“Instant relevance to ME In MY situation In relation to what I am doing As I feel RIGHT NOW”
How to target system 1?
Managers and employees in different functions need to be addressed and supported in their specific work context - not only the IT system, but also in what they have to do differently “around it”.
So they DON’T have to think:
*talk about what is important to THEM
*in their language, with their concepts
*be specific about what THEY have to do when and how
What is the experiencing self?
The experiencing self knows only the present moment.
What is the remembering self?
The remembering self is what is consulted when we make decisions.
The remembering self is a storyteller (“that was a good hike”; “that was a bad flight”), and it can dictate our actions when we think of the future as an anticipated memory (“that will be a fun trip”).
Side note: Stories are more appealing for the Remembering Self.
What are the 4 steps of the simple template used by Elisabeth for storytelling?
- Set the scene
- 1-2 small concrete details in “set the scene” make it come alive (Context is King). Make it recognisable: Something the recipient can reflect on/ relate to.
- Present the challenge
- Relief/point/result
What are the top 10 behaviours biases?
- Strategic misrepresentation
- Optimism bias
- Uniqueness bias
- Planning fallacy (writ large)
- Overconfidence bias
- Hindsigt bias
- Availability bias
- Base rate fallacy
- Anchoring
- Escalation of commitment
Define the behavioural bias: Strategic misrepresentation
The tendency to deliberately and systematically distort or misstate information for strategic purposes. Aka political bias, strategic bias, or power bias.
Define the behavioural bias: Optimism bias
The tendency to be overly optimistic about the outcome of planned actions, including overestimation of the frequency and size of positive events and underestimation of the frequency and size of negative ones.
Define the behavioural bias: Uniqueness bias
The tendency to see one’s project as more singular than it actually is.
Define the behavioural bias: Planning fallacy (writ large)
The tendency to underestimate costs, schedule, and risk and overestimate benefits and opportunities.
Define the behavioural bias: Overconfidence bias
The tendency to have excessive confidence in one’s own answers to questions.
Define the behavioural bias: Hindsight bias
The tendency to see past events as being predictable at the time those events happened. Also known as the I-knew-it-all-along effect.
Define the behavioural bias: Availability bias
The tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events with greater ease of retrieval (availability) in memory. Det man husker først er det man går med - slut.