Handout Review Flashcards
The number of occurrences at ONE PARTICULAR TIME
Prevalence
The occurrence, RATE, or frequency of a disease
Incidence
???
Outlier
Represented by “r” (rho)
The closer to 1 (or -1) the stronger the relationship. Closer to 0? A weaker relationship.
Pearson correlation is the most common but sensitive to outliers (can be misleading if non-linear relationship)
Correlation coefficient
Measures magnitude of an association between an exposed and non-exposed (control) group
Calculated using cumulative incidence data to measure the probability of developing disease
Relative Risk
Must have incidence information (cohort of clinical trials are conducted over time)
Basic risk statements express the likelihood that a particular event will occur within a particular population
Identifies what in our environment can lead to beneficial or adverse medical outcomes
Relative risk
Proportion of people with the disease who have a positive test for the disease
Sensitivity
The ability of the test to identify correctly those who have the disease
sensitivity
The proportion of people without disease who have a negative test
specificity
Ability of the test to identify correctly those who don’t have the disease
specificity
In this screening, a less expensive/invasive/uncomfortable test is generally performed first… those that screen positive are recalled for further testing with more expensive/invasive/uncomfortable test
Two-stage (sequential) testing
Loss in net sensitivity, gain in net specificity
Two-stage (sequential) testing
Patient is considered positive if they test pos on either/both tests.
Pt considered negative if they test neg on both.
Simultaneous testing
Net gain in sensitivity, net loss in specificity
Simultaneous testing
ability to apply results obtained from a study population to a broader population
External validity
Also called generalizability
External validity
Within the confines of the study, the results appear to be accurate and the interpretation of the investigators is supported
Internal validity
Most valuable in determining the statistical significance of an effect estimate?
confidence interval
More important than p-value? A better determination of significance?
Confidence interval
Produces a range within which the true value most likely lies…
“We be 95% certain that the true value is within the __ range”
Narrower is better…
Confidence interval
Odds ratios calculated in a case-control study are a good approximation of relative risk in the population when what three conditions are met?
When cases studied are representative, with regard to history of exposure, of all people w/ the disease in the population from which the cases were drawn.
When CONTROLS studied are representative, with regard to history of exposure, of all people w/ the disease in the population from which the CONTROLS were drawn.
When the studied disease doesn’t occur frequently.
The number of patients who need to receive the new intervention instead of the standard alternative in order for ONE additional patient to benefit
number needed to treat (NNT)w
Expresses the likelihood of the tx to benefit an individual patient
number needed to treat (NNT)
Is there an absolute value for NNT that defines whether something is effective or not?
No. But NNTs for very effective treatments are usually in the range of 2-4.
Usually a lower number b/c we expect large effects in small numbers of people.
Larger NNTs can be found useful where few pts are affected in large populations (use for prophylactic measures)
When an experimental treatment is detrimental, what term would we employ?
number needed to harm (NNH)
Numbers are similar to NNT, except NNH will have a negative absolute risk reduction
Low probability of a false negative?
Sensitivity
Highly useful when negative because it rules out the disease
Sensitivity
Low probability of a false positive
specificity
Highly useful when it is positive because it tends to rule in the disease
Specificity
Means that subjects are analyzed according to the categories into which they were originally randomized.
Even if subjects withdraw/fail to take prescribed/otherwise adjust their tx, they still belong to their original tx group
Intention to treat analysis
note that this was taken from the book the definition couldn’t be found in the slides
Indicates the chance of a random error
p-value
P-value key metrics?
p = or < .05 (statistically significant)
p < .001 (HIGHLY significant)
When a drug/procedure/intervention works under ideal circumstances
efficacy
When we reject the null hypothesis, but the hypothesis is actually true?
Type 1 error
aka Alpha error
When we fail to reject the null hypothesis, but the null hypothesis is false
Type 2 error
aka Beta error
variables that correlate directly or indirectly with the dependent and independent variables
Confounding variables