Global trends in consumption Flashcards
what is meant by the “new global middle class”
The growth of the middle class demographic that causes an increase in: resource consumption, demand, and expectations of living
what has been the impact of the MDG around the world
- increase in global middle class
- 1965: total number of middle class was 732 million out of 3.3 billion
- 2030: estimated middle class will be 4.9 billion out of 8 billion people
define biocapacity
land and water to provide resources for humanity
define ecological footprint
hypothetical area of land required by a society, group or an individual to fufill all their resource needs and assimilate all their waste and measured in global hectares (ha). For example, a country with an ecological footprint of 3.2 times its geographical area consumes resources that would require a land area 3.2 times the actual size of the country
name 3 positives of increasing population
- rapid innovation -> boosts economy
- expansion of market size for goods
- Asia - 53% of global GDP in 2050
name 3 negatives of an increasing population
- higher waste disposal
- increased energy demand
- increase consumption of foreign goods can have disastrous environmental impacts (cattle rearing)
what is the distribution of biocapacity globally
- high biocapacity in rainforests, icier regions
- low biocapacity in desert areas -> MENA
what is the distribution of the ecological footprint globally
- high EF in HIC
- low EF in LIC
is a high ecological footprint bad or worse
- high ecological footprint is bad
do the trends of the growth of the middle class continue? + example
No
-> 1960s -> Brazil and S Korea experienced similar growth rates and income
-> 1980s -> Brazil’s middle class accounted for less than 30% of the population, and South Korea was more than 50% of to the population
-> due to South Korea’s growth over Brazil, it could diversify its economy away from export–consumption to domestic consumption
-> not all middle class has economic security. Many are on $4 incomes and remain vulnerable to unemployment, unemployment and informal jobs
factors used in full ecological footprint
- bioproductive land and sea
- energy land
- built land (urban)
- biodiversity land
- non-productive land
What is the global trend of the middle class
A huge shift in the middle class to Asia from Europe and North America:
-> estimated 400 million in the middle class by 2030 in most parts of Asia in especially: India, China, Indonesia
What is the water-food-energy Nexus concept?
Refers to the close link between these three sectors, and stresses the need for stewardship of these resources
What is an ecological creditor
An ecological creditor is a country with an ecological footprint lower than their carrying capacity.
what is ecological debtor
An ecological debtor is a country with an ecological footprint greater than their carrying capacity
What is the global distribution of ecological debtors
Higher income countries: North America, Europe, MENA, Central/East Asia
What is the global distribution of ecological creditors
South America, South Africa, Oceania, Scandinavia
Name three factors affecting Nexus
-Climate change
-urging economies means higher resource use (BRICS)
Pollution
name the four key benefits of Nexus-based adaptations
-Goal
-core principles
Main focus
-broad strategies
Briefly explain the benefits of the goal of a Nexus-based adaptation
The goal in order to use resources efficiently to achieve water, energy and food security objectives in order to build adaptive capacity against climate change risks
Briefly explain the benefits of the core principles of an Nexus based adaptation
The principle aims to minimise resource waste and increase economic efficiency by managing and reducing vulnerability to climate change risks
Briefly explain the benefits of the main focus of an Nexus based adaptation
Provided integrated solutions at multiple scales in order to minimise shock, risks and vulnerability with climate change to reduce overall poverty
Briefly explained the benefits of broad strategies in an nexus based adaptation
Broad strategies include policy integration, harmonisation and governance to generate co-benefits across all sectors and stakeholders. This helps build resilience for climate change mitigation
what are the benefits of knowing the ecological footprint of an area?
- can act as a model for monitoring the environmental impact
- allow for direct comparisons between groups and individuals (HICs and LICs)
- Can highlight sustainable and unsustainable lifestyles
estimated remaining world supplies of non-renewable resources:
- fossil fuels
- ecosystems
- minerals
- fossil fuels = 40 years left
- ecosystems = 100 years left
- minerals = 45 years left (however some as short as 10-20 years left)
how does a country increase their ecological footprint (3)
- having a large per capita consumption of food (i.e. having a meat-rich diet)
- high levels of imported foods
- relying heavily on fossil fuels
how does a country decrease their ecological footprint (3)
- improving the efficiency of resources
- reducing its population to reduce its resource use
- using technology to intensify land use (GM crops to increase yield on the same area of land)
what is Earth Overshoot Day
The day in the year when humanity has used up all the resources that it takes the planet to regenerate
how do nations ecological footprints compare?
HICs ->
- more disposable income
- high demand of energy resources and consumption
- produce far more waste than LICs as by-products of pollution
- HICs are usually high meat-eating countries, which take up more land and energy, as animals take 90% of the energy they eat for respiration and mobility
- greater reliance on fossil fuels
LICs ->
- lower disposable income
- the informal economy has led to an increase in recycling
- more commonly veg countries, that use less energy to grow more crops
name 1 HIC and 1 LIC comparing ecological footprints
HIC: France
- Ecological footprint: 4.5 Hectares per person
LIC: Ethiopia
- Ecological footprint: 1.0 Hectares per person
To what extent is a future global increase in ecological footprint inevitable due to a rapid growth of the Middle class (10 marks) For and Against
For:
- increasing global population rapidly -> high proportion of middle class
- greater disposable income
- higher living standards
- greater demand for energy resources
- greater marketing towards ultra-processed food with a higher price)
- glocalisation has made it harder to resist ultra-processed food from TNCs, as they have adapted their products to the culture in the country they operate in
- more waste created
Against:
- alternate technological advancements/ renewable energy resources that limit the impact of a country’s ecological footprint
- introduction of population policies to reduce population and control ecological footprint
- become part of international economic policies (Kyoto Protocol)
- increased awareness and education
Therefore, the rapid growth of the middle class will inevitably have a major increase on the global ecological footprint as development in that country increases but can be limited by how it is managed and restricted
what are the global patterns and trends in water availability and consumption
- HIC: high industrial use (60%)
- LIC: high agricultural use
- water availability will decrease in many regions
->, i.e. 300 million people in sub-Saharan Africa live in a water-scarce environment, and Central and Southern Europe are predicted to get drier as a result of climate change
how important is water?
- 97.5% is salty
- 2.5% is fresh water
- 2/3 of fresh water is in glaciers
- domestic, agricultural and industrial use
- 1.2 million live in water scarcity
- increase demand for water
- global pop has tripled, and demand has increased by 6x
name 4 reasons that cause the trend of an increase in pressure to manage water
- population growth -> set to reach 9 billion by 2050 (some say it may reach a peak of 11 billion)
- the growing middle class -> increasing affluence leads to greater water consumption, for example, showers, baths, gardening
- tourism and agriculture -> increased water usage for swimming pools, water parks and golf courses
- urbanisation -> Urban areas require significant investment in water and sanitation facilities to get water to people and to remove waste products hygienically