Exam 3 - Chapter 13 [SLIDES] Flashcards
Fundamental analysis models
A company’s value by assessing its current and future probability
Fundamental analysis is to identify
Misprinted stocks relative to some measure of “true” value derived from financial data
True value is
Intrinsic value
Models of equity valuation
- use of financial statements
- dividend discounts model (DDM)
- Price/Earnings Ratios
- Free cash flow models
Valuation of MArket Comaprables and Financial Statemntsz to estimate firm value
How do they do this?
- Compare valuation ratios of firms to industry averages
- Ratios like price/sales are useful for valuing start-ups that have yet to generate positive earnings
- Book values are based on historical cost, not actual market values
Which one you use the book value or the market value when you are estimating?
Market value
Examples of Comparative Valeu
- Price-to-book ratio
- price to cash flow ratio
- price to sales ratio
Prices to book ratio used what value
Market value
Book value
Book value - balance sheet, etc
Price to cash flow ratio uses what type of value
Market value
Book value
Market value - uses the stock
The DDM says the stock price should equal
The present value of all expected future dividends
PV0=
Present value
Do =
Dividend at time t
K =
Market required rate of return.
Intrinsic value (IV)
Is the “true” value, according to a model with my own information
THe market values
(MV, or market price) is the consensus value of all market participants, (maybe, excluding me)
My trading signal
IV > MV Buy
IV < MV sell or Short sell
IV = MV Hold or Fairly Priced
The runner on a stock is composed of
Dividends and capital gains or losses
Whose expectations (Expected HPR)
My expected HPR may be more or less than the market required rebate of return in equilibrium
K is often called
Market capitalization rate !!!
IMPORTANT