Epidemiology 3 Flashcards
Why is Bradford Hill used?
Enables us to infer causation from both observational and interventional methods
What are the criteria in Bradford hill?
- Strength
- Consistency
- Specificity
- Temporality
- Biological gradient
- Plausibility
- Coherence
- Experiment
- Analogy
What is the strength criteria?
The stronger association increases the confidence that an exposure causes an outcome
What is the consistency criteria?
Consistent findings across setting tended to rule out error or fallacies that might befall one or two studies
What is the specificity criteria?
Specificity describes an association between specific causes and specific effects
What caveats are in the specificity criteria?
A specific disease arising among specific workers is valuable in supporting the argument for casualty, but conceded a lack of specificity does not necessarily invalidate a casual relationship
Is specificity necessary?
Can be informative when present but its absence conveys very little
What is the temporality criteria?
It is insufficient for exposure A and outcome B to coexist A but precede B
How is temporality used in observational study?
In observational study design take a cross sectional approach that determines the presence of exposure A and outcome B
What is the biological gradient criteria?
A dose response effect (in ‘right’ direction) is a compelling argument for casualty (more cigarettes greater risk of lung cancer)
Is biological gradient important?
- Quantification often difficult
- When present it is suggestive but tis absence may be of no value
What is the biological plausibility criteria?
- Relationship should be biologically plausible where science is ‘understood’
- When deficient understanding assessing whether a relationship is plausible or not may not be possible
What is the coherence criteria?
The association ought to be consistent with the existing theory and knowledge
What is the difference between coherence and biological plausibility?
- Seeks to ensure that the association is in keeping withe existing science
- About broader picture, goof when existing scientific theory is correct but if most scientist are wrong, this criteria may support he states quo
What is the experimentation criteria?
- Evidence from experimentation should be supportive of the proposed link
- Observational studies will nerve conclusively prove causation
Why is experimentation sometimes not possible?
Ethics especially in public health issues
What is the analogy criteria?
Drawing upon analogous finding may make inference on the relationship
When is analogy important?
- Understanding emergent disease and new association
- Rest on existing knowledge
What is correlation?
Linear relationship between two variables
Does Bradford Hill give a yes or no?
No, need to have own idea
What is internal validity?
- if believe that the association truly exists in that group of patients
- Extent to which findings accurately describe the relationship between exposure and outcome in the context of the study
What is external validity?
if applicable to other groups of cancer patients e.g. outside of the population
What is external validity the same as?
generalisability
What is bias?
any trend in the collection, analysis, interpretation, publication or review of data that can lead to conclusions that are systematically different from the truth
What does systematic error lead to?
systematic error in the design or conduct of a study can result in bias - which means observed results may be different from the truth - and hurts validity
How do you stop random error?
- Always error expected in measurements
- over or under estimate height when measuring due to chance have random error - problem to precisions
- large enough sample error cancels each other out
What happens if systematically overestimate height?
lead to inaccurate results regardless of sample size