electoral competition Flashcards
Downsian model of electoral competition
parties will converge in policy-wise to the median voter’s ideal point to maximize its probability of winning
does convergence mean convergence to center of political spectrum?
no; distribution of political opinions in electorate affects content of policies adopted
strong assumptions of MVT theorem (3)
- parties can freely chose any position on the left-right scale
- there are only 2 competing parties
- there is only one dimension (left-right)
constraints on policy positions (2)
- parties cannot switch policy positions at whim (undermine credibility to voters)
- party labels facilitate voting (what to expect)
multi-party competition
every party converging at the median is not at equilibrium
alternative to the downsian model of electoral competition
citizen-candidate model
citizen-candidate model
- candidates are ideological (care about policies)
- no longer solely motivated by winning (at any “ideological cost”)
- any voter can be a candidate; some decide to run
assumptions of citizen-candidate model (4)
- single-dimensional policy space
- single-peaked preferences
- ideological candidates
- # of candidates is not fixed (endogenous)
variables in the CCM (3)
- B: direct benefit of office (salary, prestige, etc.)
- C: cost of running for office (campaign expenditures, etc.)
- p: proportion of the vote
one-candidate equilibrium (CCM)
nash equilibrium where a candidate with peak at 0 runs unopposed and wins the election, if and only if B ≤ 2C
two-candidate equilibrium (CCM)
nash equilibrium in which a candidate with a policy position x=−1 runs against a candidate with policy position x= 1 if and only if B > 2C − 2
+
each candidate has a probability of winning of 1/2
three-candidate equilibrium (CCM)
if p = 1/3, there exists a nash equilibrium where three candidates with peaks xi = −1, xj = 0 & xk= 1, respectively, all run for office if and only if B > 3C
+
each candidate has a probability 1/3 of winning the election