Econometrics 2: Bivariate Linear Regression 2.3 - Ordinary Least Squares Estimation Flashcards

1
Q

Describe & explain the first-order conditions of OLS

A

OLS is the procedure that minimises the sum of squared residuals 𝑆 = βˆ‘top right n bottom right i=1 πœ€Μ‚bottom right𝑖 ^2, i.e.
we need to
min 𝑆 = min βˆ‘top rightn bottom right i=1 πœ€Μ‚bottom right𝑖 ^2 = min βˆ‘(π‘Œbottom right𝑖 βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat bottom right0 βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat bottom right1 𝑋Bottom right𝑖)^2
We know that to find the maximum or minimum of a function we need to differentiate and set to
0. This gives what we call the first-order conditions:
πœ•π‘†/πœ•π›½Μ‚hat0 = βˆ’2 βˆ‘( π‘Œbottom right𝑖 βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat0 βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat1𝑋𝑖) = 0 (4)
πœ•π‘†/πœ•π›½Μ‚hat1 = βˆ’2 βˆ‘ 𝑋𝑖( π‘Œπ‘– βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat0 βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat1𝑋𝑖) = 0 (5)
On solving these equations, we find that
𝛽̂hat0 = π‘ŒΜ…bar βˆ’ 𝛽̂hat1𝑋̅bar (6)
𝛽̂bar1 = βˆ‘(π‘‹π‘–βˆ’π‘‹Μ…bar)(π‘Œπ‘–βˆ’π‘ŒΜ…bar) / βˆ‘(π‘‹π‘–βˆ’π‘‹Μ…bar)^2 = βˆ‘ π‘‹π‘–π‘Œπ‘–βˆ’π‘›π‘‹Μ…barπ‘ŒΜ…bar / βˆ‘ 𝑋𝑖^2βˆ’π‘›π‘‹Μ…bar^2 (7)
These are the OLS estimators of 𝛽0 and 𝛽1 and as you can see, they are simply equations that
involve our data, 𝑋 and π‘Œ. We can now see how we combine data with a statistical technique to
get estimates of the unknown parameters in the regression model. We have our data on variables
𝑋 and π‘Œ. We have the statistical technique of OLS and this gives us the formulae with which we
can use the data in order to get our estimates, i.e. input the values of our dataset, 𝑋 and π‘Œ, into our
estimator equations (6) and (7), and out pop two numbers, one an estimate of 𝛽0, the other an
estimate of 𝛽1

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