Demographic Transition Model Flashcards
The demographic model attempts to
Describe and predict how a population will change overtime as it changes from an agrarian society to an industrial, and post-industrial society
Key Terms in DTM (demographic transition model)
Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
Crude Death Rate (CDR)
Natural Increase Rate (Growth Rate, NIR)
Total Fertility Rate (TFR)
Infant Mortality Rate (TFR)
Stage 1
High CBR, CDR, near zero
Stage 2
Graph
CDR falls, CBR remains high increasing NIR and rapid growth population
Stage 3
Graph
CDR declines slows, CBR falls, NIR slows, population growth rates
Stage 4
Graph
Low CDR and CBR, low NIR stable (but now large population)
Stage 1
Fluctuating High CBR
High Infant Mortality Rate
Lack of Family Planning
Need for workers
Children are economic assets (support parents)
Religious Beliefs
Roman Catholics
Muslims
Hindu
Stage 1 High CDR
Disease
Famine
War
Poor hygiene and sanitation
Lack of Healthcare
Lack of education
Stage 2
CBR
Graph
Early expanding same reasons as stage 1 High
Stage 2 CDR
Declining CDR
Improved Healthcare
Improved Sanitation
Imporved food production
Decrease IMR
Outside Stimulus (People find a reason to stay alive)
Stage 3
Late Expanding
Declining CBR
Reasons
Changing status of women
Cairo Conference
Avialable Family planning
Available Family planning
Lower IMR
Increased Standard of Living
Better Technology = lower demand for workers
Welfare/ Retirement
Stage 3 Declining CDR
Same reasons as Stage 2 Declining CDR
Stage 4
CBR and CDR are low population is stable
Stage 5
CBR drops below CDR
Population starts to decrease officially only 4 stages.
Not part of the original DTM. but some geographers added it
Crude Birth Rate
Total number of live births in a year for every 1000 people alive in the society