decision trees Flashcards

1
Q

what is a decision tree

A

method of evaluating alternative outcomes of any decision

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2
Q

how do you calculate the monetary values of a decision tree?

A

you calculate both scenarios like so:

(success x profit or loss) + (failure x profit/loss)

once calculated, the scenario with the higher profit is the right option

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3
Q

3 advantages of decision trees

A
  • Allow managers to set out problems in a clear and logical manner
  • All potential options can be seen at the same time
  • uses numerical values so more likely to be accurate
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4
Q

3 disadvantages of decision trees

A
  • other factors to consider which cannot be shown through numerical value
  • by the time the decision is made, the information would be out of date
  • process can be time consuming
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5
Q

Critical path analysis

A

a process that helps determine a project schedule

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6
Q

how do you calculate the earliest start time?

A

the first node is 0
then, you add on the longest task to the node, and keep this going until you reach the end

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7
Q

how do you calculate the latest finishing time?

A

LFT - time taken to complete previous task

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8
Q

identifying the critical path

A

the tasks which have a float of 0 and can’t be delayed

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9
Q

total float

A

the amount of time a task can be delayed without affecting the whole project

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10
Q

float calculation

A

LFT - EST - duration of task

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11
Q

free float

A

The time by which a task can be delayed without affecting the following task

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12
Q

3 limitations of critical path analysis

A
  • info to estimate times may be incorrect
  • unforeseen events can occur
  • with large projects, the analysis can become complex
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