Concepts and Reasoning Flashcards
concept
mental representations of individuals and categories
Classical categories
(aka Aristotelian) a list of properties that are necessary and sufficient conditions to define members of a category
Family Resemblance Categories
NO common properties , and instead different properties shared by different subsets
Normative Models of Reasoning
How people SHOULD think: logic(deductive), probability theory(inductive)
Descriptive models of Reasoning
How people DO think
Deductive Reasoning
general to specific certain Ex.: Socrates is a man All men are mortal Socrates is mortal
Inductive Reasoning
Specific to general probabilistic Ex: Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle are men Socrates is mortal Plato is mortal Aristotle is mortal All men are mortal.
Fallacies in Deductive Reasoning
confirmation bias: people seek evidence to confirm, not falsify their hypothesis
Content Effect
Fallacies in Inductive Reasoning
misconceptions of Randomness
misconceptions of risk
misperception of how data supports hypotheses
The Content Effect
people are good logicians when it comes to particular kinds of content
Frequentist probability
What proportion of events have a given outcome in the long run?
(people tend to use good intuitive statistics)
Subjectivist Probability
How confident are in the outcome of a single event?
people tend to use memory, stereotypes, judgment, etc.
prototype
combination of the most common shared properties among members of a family resemblance category
usually does not actually exist in reality
Gambler’s Fallacy
Fallacy: randomness is a causal process. it compensates for deviations from expected pattern.
Reality; Randomness dilutes the deviations
Availability Heuristic
the easier to imagine an example, the more likely an event is estimated to be