Chapter 7 Flashcards
p̂ (point estimate)
Sample proportion; unbiased; targets pop prop p̂=(upperCI+lower CI)/2
p
Population proportion
Point Estimate
A single value used to estimate the population perameter
α
Complement of CI (CI+α=1)
Confidence Interval (CI) (Interval Estimate)
Range of values used to estimate the true population parameter.
Margin of Error (E) p̂ definition
The maximum likely difference between p̂ and p
Critical Value
z score separating sample stats that are likely and unlikely to occur (Zα/2 in normal dist.)
Margin of Error (E) p̂ equation
E=zα/2✓p̂q̂/n, n=#sample values.
p̂-E<p><p̂+E, E=(upperCI-lower CI)/2
CI for p̂ requirements
- Simple random samples 2. fixed # trials 3. independent trials 4. 2 outcomes 5. P of S is constant
Confidence Level (degree of confidence) (confidence coefficient)
Probability of success in the process of constructing a CI
Estimating Required Sample Size p̂
(p̂ known) n=(zα/2)^2p̂q̂/E^2 (p̂ unknown) n=(zα/2)^2*0.25/E^2
n > 30
Doesn’t need to be normally distributed
n <30
Needs to be normally distributed
CI for x̄ requirements
- Simple random sample 2. σ is known 3. normal dist. or n>30
How to state 95% confidence
We are 95% confident the CI actually contains the true value of (pop statistic)