chapter 18: Inference in practice Flashcards
This chapter begins the process of helping you develop the judgment needed to use statistics in practice.
The “simple conditions” are what…
- We have a simple random sample (SRS) from the population of interest. There is no nonresponse or other practical difficulty. The population is large compared to the size of the sample.
- The variable we measure has an exactly Normal distribution N(μ, σ) in the population.
- We don’t know the population mean μ. But we do know the population standard deviation σ.
The confidence interval of mean μ under simple conditions
z-procedures: to test H0: μ = μ0, we use the one-sample z statistic:
The numerator measures how far the sample mean deviates from the hypothesized mean μ0. Larger values of the numerator give stronger evidence against H0: μ = μ0. The denominator is the standard deviation of ¯xx¯ . It measures how much random variation we expect. There is less variation when the number of observations n is large. So z gets larger (more significant) when the estimated effect ¯xx¯ − μ0 gets larger or when the number of observations n gets larger. Significance depends both on the size of the effect we observe and on the size of the sample.
As you plan inference, you should always ask two questions
- “Where did the data come from?”
- “What is the shape of the population distribution?”
statistical significance
the sample showed an effect larger than would often occur just by chance
18.4 To obtain a desired margin of error m…
put in the value of z* for your desired confidence level, and solve for the sample size n
For a given effect size and level of significance, increasing sample size will ___________ power.
increase
Increasing sample size decreases the standard deviation of the sampling distribution, which results in rejecting a false null hypothesis more often.