Causation and Causal Inference Flashcards
● Without it an outcome will not be observed even if other conditions are satisfied
NECESSARY CAUSE
● A malnourished individual will not develop TB if the individual has not acquired the mycobacterium tuberculosis bacteria
NECESSARY CAUSE
“consists of several components that interact to promote the occurrence of the outcome”
SUFFICIENT CAUSE
•The causes other than necessary cause, complementing or helping the necessary cause are considered as
components of the cause.
Epidemiologic Triad
Host, Agent, Environment
This model implies that an interplay of these factors must be analyzed and understood for comprehension and predictions of patterns of disease
Epidemiologic Triangle
In this model the host and agent are at opposite ends of a hypothetical lever for which the environment serves as the fulcrum
Epidemiologic Lever
The hub or center of the wheel represents the host and the surrounding is the biological, social and physical environment
The Wheel
Effects are not due to single isolated causes but develop as a result of chain of causation in which each link can be linked to another
The Web of Causation
A process of proving that a particular hypothesis is a real one and causal
Causal Inference
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect
Strength
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect
Consistency
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation.
-The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.
Specificity:
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay).
Temporality
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect.
• However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect.
Biological gradient: