3.8 - Investment Appraisal Flashcards
what is investment appraisal
quantitative technique to assess the profitability or desirability of investing in a project
- how fast will an initial large investment be repaid into the business?
what are two types of risk?
- systematic risk
- specific risk
what is systematic risk
risk which is based on outside factors - eg. exchange rates
what is specific risk
risk based on the project itself - eg. little knowledge in the sector
what is payback period?
the length of time that it takes for the cost of the intial investment to be repaid into the business as earnings
pros/cons of using payback period as a method of investment appraisal
pros
* easy to calculate
* easy to understand
* relevant to firms with limited funds - want quick returns
cons
* just estimates - may not be correct
* ignores timings of finances being paid back
* does not calculate profit
how is the payback period calculated?
- draw the table
- find the point on the accumalated cash flow where it goes from + to -
- if this is not a clear value, find how much is required to reach 0 from the negative point, and put it over the annual net cash flow being added on top of the negative number when it turns positive
(x fraction by 12 to find the fraction of a year as a number of months)
what is average rate of return (ARR)
method of investment appraisal where the profitability of a project is calculated as the annual percentage return of the initial capital cost
how is the average rate of return (ARR) calculated?
using the triangle method
bottom right divided by bottom left divided by top middle
AKA:
when making a table to calculate average rate of return (ARR), what should the headings be?
- year
- annual net cashflows
- accumalated cashflow
what is net present value (NPV)
using a discount factor, businesses foreshadow inflation numbers to get a more realistic value of their investment into a project over a period of time
pros/cons of using average rate of return (ARR)
pros
* easy calculation - allows businesses to forsee a return on their investments
* measures profit recieved on different projects
cons
* estimates, may not be correct
* ignores timing of payments
how to calculate net present value (NPV)
- make a table
- input years
- input annual net cashflows
- input discount factor
- multiply annual net cashflows by discount factors
- write in accumalated cashflow
add all of the values in accumalated cashflow to find the NPV
pros/cons of using net present value (NPV) as a form of investment appraisal
pros
* takes into account the changing value of money over time
* gives businesses an overall view of how profitable a project may be over time
cons
* inflation rates may change - may not 100% be accurate
* complex to calcualte - easily misunderstood