3.2 Visualizing Probabilities Flashcards
Tools for visualizing Probabilites
Contingency Tables, tree diagrams, Venn diagrams
Contingency Tables
two-way tables summarize data about two categorical variables or factors collected on the same set of individuals
Joint probabilities
a probability of outcomes for two or more variables or processes P(A n B)
Marginal Distribution
studying the row totals and the column totals, they represent the marginal distribution, expressed in frequencies
Marginal Distribution-relative frequency
found by taking the marginal frequencies and dividing by the grand total, often expressed as percentages or probabilities
Conditional Distribution
the distribution of one factor for each level of the other factor
conditional percent
is computed using the counts within a single row or a single column, the denominator is the corresponding row or column total rather than the table grand total
Simpson’s Paradox
an association that holds for all of serval groups can reverse direction when the data are combined to form a single group
Confounding or luring variabls
are always a problem for interpretation, but their impact can be even more drastic when dealing with categorical data
tree diagram
helpful to define sample spaces, picture branching probabilities such as conditionals
Compliment
P(A), P(A’)
Mutually Exculsive
P(A), P(B)
Not mutually exclusive
P(A n B), P(A)=PP(A n B’)+P(A n B), P(B)=P(B n A’)+P(A n B)